FK Liepaja 62%Draw 22%Grobiņa 16%Expected goals 1.85 – 0.84
66%
Betarazi pick
Under 3.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.51 · bookmaker 1.53 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.53Odds
Picks by market
ResultFK Liepaja to win ✗62% · @1.48
Double chanceFK Liepaja or draw ✓84% · @1.07
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓60% · @1.62
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓77% · @1.17
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.24
FK Liepaja vs Grobiņa: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
FK Liepaja welcome Grobiņa to Daugavas stadions for a Virsliga fixture on Tuesday 28 April (16:00 WAT). In the table, FK Liepaja are 5th, upper half, on 51 points after 36 matches; Grobiņa are 8th (in the drop zone) with 29. There are 22 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
FK Liepaja, last 5: WDLLW Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Super Nova, away. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Grobiņa, last 5: LLDLD Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Rīgas FS, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give FK Liepaja 1.9 xG, Grobiņa 0.8 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 55%, GG 60%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – FK Liepaja 62%, draw 22%, Grobiņa 16%.
GG/NG: GG (60%) at 1.62.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (66%, odds 1.53). Most likely score in line with that pick: FK Liepaja 1–0 Grobiņa. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
FK Liepaja62%fair 1.62 · @1.48
Draw22%fair 4.57 · @4.10
Grobiņa16%fair 6.12 · @5.75
2.70Expected goals
1.85FK Liepaja xG
0.84Grobiņa xG
60%Both score
55%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–013%
2–012%
1–111%
2–110%
3–07%
0–07%
From our goals model: FK Liepaja 1.9 – 0.8 Grobiņa expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
FK Liepaja to win✗
62%
1.62
1.48
Double chance
FK Liepaja or draw✓
84%
1.20
1.07
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
60%
1.67
1.62
Draw no bet
FK Liepaja (draw no bet)
79%
1.26
–
Asian handicap
FK Liepaja -0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
61%
1.63
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
77%
1.30
1.17
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
55%
1.81
1.55
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
66%
1.51
1.53
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
86%
1.16
–
First team to score
FK Liepaja to score first✓
64%
1.56
–
Half-time result
FK Liepaja ahead at half-time✓
44%
2.28
–
Half-time / full-time
HT FK Liepaja / FT FK Liepaja✗
39%
2.59
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.24
–
Recent results
FK Liepaja – last 6
WDLLWL
23 Apr
@ Super Nova
2–1
W
17 Apr
@ Tukums
2–2
D
8 Apr
vs Auda
1–2
L
3 Apr
@ BFC Daugavpils
0–2
L
20 Mar
@ Ogre United
1–0
W
13 Mar
vs Rīgas FS
0–1
L
1.0Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Grobiņa – last 6
LLDLDW
22 Apr
vs Rīgas FS
0–1
L
18 Apr
vs Riga
0–3
L
13 Apr
@ Ogre United
1–1
D
9 Apr
vs Super Nova
0–1
L
5 Apr
@ Tukums
1–1
D
7 Mar
@ BFC Daugavpils
1–0
W
0.5Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between FK Liepaja and Grobiņa.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.53.
Who will win FK Liepaja vs Grobiņa?
On our numbers FK Liepaja have a 62% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Grobiņa 16%.
How many goals will there be in FK Liepaja vs Grobiņa?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for FK Liepaja vs Grobiņa?
Our predicted score is FK Liepaja 1–0 Grobiņa, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is FK Liepaja vs Grobiņa?
FK Liepaja vs Grobiņa (Virsliga) kicks off on Tuesday 28 April 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Daugavas stadions.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
