18:00 WAT, Tuesday 28 April: Rīgas FS v Riga in the Virsliga, played at LNK Sporta Parks - artificial grass. In the table, Rīgas FS are 1st, leading the league, on 89 points after 35 matches; Riga are 2nd (among the top four) with 83.
Current form
Rīgas FS, last 5: WWWLW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Grobiņa, away. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 0.3 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Riga, last 5: WWWDW Their latest outing: 4–0 win over Ogre United, at home. Away from home the record reads 4 won, 0 lost from 4. Scoring is no problem – 3.2 a game lately. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Rīgas FS 1.6 xG, Riga 1.4 xG – a total near 3.0. That is an open game on paper: 52% for three or more goals, 62% for GG.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Rīgas FS 39%, draw 25%, Riga 36%.
GG/NG: GG (62%) at 1.70.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (76%, odds 1.30). Most likely score in line with that pick: Rīgas FS 1–1 Riga. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Rīgas FS39%fair 2.54 · @2.65
Draw25%fair 4.03 · @3.30
Riga36%fair 2.79 · @2.38
2.95Expected goals
1.58Rīgas FS xG
1.38Riga xG
62%Both score
52%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–111%
2–19%
1–08%
1–28%
0–17%
2–06%
From our goals model: Rīgas FS 1.6 – 1.4 Riga expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Rīgas FS to win✗
39%
2.54
2.65
Double chance
Either team to win✗
75%
1.33
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
62%
1.61
1.70 ▲
Draw no bet
Rīgas FS (draw no bet)
52%
1.91
–
Asian handicap
Riga +1 (Asian handicap)✓
73%
1.37
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
76%
1.32
1.30
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
52%
1.91
1.93
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
69%
1.45
1.28
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
82%
1.21
–
First team to score
Rīgas FS to score first
51%
1.98
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
40%
2.50
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Rīgas FS / FT Rīgas FS✗
25%
3.98
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.21
–
Recent results
Rīgas FS – last 6
WWWLWW
22 Apr
@ Grobiņa
1–0
W
13 Apr
@ Tukums
2–1
W
8 Apr
@ FS Jelgava
1–0
W
4 Apr
vs Auda
0–1
L
13 Mar
@ FK Liepaja
1–0
W
6 Mar
vs Ogre United
2–0
W
1.2Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
17%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Riga – last 6
WWWDWW
22 Apr
vs Ogre United
4–0
W
18 Apr
@ Grobiņa
3–0
W
14 Apr
@ Super Nova
4–1
W
9 Apr
vs Tukums
3–3
D
20 Mar
@ Auda
2–1
W
24 Feb
@ Flora Tallinn
3–0
W
3.2Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Rīgas FS and Riga.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win Rīgas FS vs Riga?
On our numbers Rīgas FS have a 39% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Riga 36%.
How many goals will there be in Rīgas FS vs Riga?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Rīgas FS vs Riga?
Our predicted score is Rīgas FS 1–1 Riga, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Rīgas FS vs Riga?
Rīgas FS vs Riga (Virsliga) kicks off on Tuesday 28 April 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time) at LNK Sporta Parks - artificial grass.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
