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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Super Nova v Auda: numbers & prediction

Virsliga · Latvia · Slokas Stadions
1–2
FT

Auda

WWDLW
Super Nova 21%Draw 25%Auda 54% Expected goals 1.01 – 1.66
73%
Betarazi pick

Over 1.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.37 · bookmaker 1.28 · Won ✓

8/10Rating
1.28Odds

Picks by market

ResultAuda to win ✓54% · @1.80
Double chanceAuda or draw ✓79% · @1.16
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓58% · @1.74
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓73% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✓10% · fair 10.38

Super Nova vs Auda: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Super Nova welcome Auda to Slokas Stadions for a Virsliga fixture on Friday 1 May (16:00 WAT). In the table, Super Nova are 6th, lower half, on 40 points after 36 matches; Auda are 3rd (among the top four) with 73. There are 33 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Super Nova, last 5: WLLWW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over BFC Daugavpils, away. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.

Auda, last 5: WWDLW Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Tukums, at home. Away from home the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.

Head to head

When they last met (8 Mar 2026) it ended Auda 2–1 Super Nova.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Super Nova 1.0 xG, Auda 1.7 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 49%, GG 58%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Super Nova 21%, draw 25%, Auda 54%.
  • Lower-risk option: Auda or draw (79%) at 1.16.
  • GG/NG: GG (58%) at 1.74.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (73%, odds 1.28). Most likely score in line with that pick: Super Nova 1–1 Auda. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Super Nova21%fair 4.80 · @3.90
Draw25%fair 3.99 · @3.35
Auda54%fair 1.85 · @1.80
2.66Expected goals
1.01Super Nova xG
1.66Auda xG
58%Both score
49%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–112%
0–112%
1–210%
0–210%
1–07%
0–07%

From our goals model: Super Nova 1.0 – 1.7 Auda expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultAuda to win ✓54%1.851.80
Double chanceAuda or draw ✓79%1.261.16
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓58%1.711.74
Draw no betAuda (draw no bet) ✓72%1.39–
Asian handicapSuper Nova +1 (Asian handicap)63%1.60–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓73%1.371.28
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗51%1.951.74
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓72%1.391.27
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓86%1.171.08
First team to scoreAuda to score first58%1.73–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓42%2.39–
Half-time / full-timeHT Auda / FT Auda ✗32%3.12–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✓10%10.38–

Recent results

Super Nova – last 6

WLLWWW
27 Apr@ BFC Daugavpils1–0W
23 Aprvs FK Liepaja1–2L
14 Aprvs Riga1–4L
9 Apr@ Grobiņa1–0W
3 Apr@ Ogre United2–1W
22 Mar@ Tukums2–1W
1.3Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Auda – last 6

WWDLWW
26 Aprvs Tukums2–1W
21 Apr@ FS Jelgava3–2W
17 Apr@ Ogre United1–1D
12 Aprvs BFC Daugavpils2–3L
8 Apr@ FK Liepaja2–1W
4 Apr@ Rīgas FS1–0W
1.8Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

8 Mar 2026Auda v Super Nova2–1
Super Nova vs Auda head-to-head page →

Virsliga table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Rīgas FS352852+6389
2Riga352582+6283
3Auda362277+2473
4BFC Daugavpils36141012+552
5FK Liepaja3614913+151
6Super Nova3611718-1840
7FS Jelgava369819-2035
8Grobiņa3661119-3829
9Tukums3651021-2425
10Ogre United364725-5519

More Virsliga predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Super Nova vs Auda?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.

Who will win Super Nova vs Auda?

On our numbers Super Nova have a 21% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Auda 54%.

How many goals will there be in Super Nova vs Auda?

We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Super Nova vs Auda?

Our predicted score is Super Nova 1–1 Auda, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.

When is Super Nova vs Auda?

Super Nova vs Auda (Virsliga) kicks off on Friday 1 May 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Slokas Stadions.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.