Value bet: BFC Daugavpils to win @ 2.55 – our chance 44% vs 39% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultBFC Daugavpils to win ✗44% · @2.55
Double chanceEither team to win ✗74% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓53% · @1.80
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓77% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.30
Grobiņa vs BFC Daugavpils: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
BFC Daugavpils travel to face Grobiņa on Saturday 2 May in the Virsliga – the ball rolls at 13:00 WAT. In the table, Grobiņa are 8th, in the drop zone, on 29 points after 36 matches; BFC Daugavpils are 4th (among the top four) with 52. There are 23 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Grobiņa, last 5: DLLDL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with FK Liepaja, away. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game.
BFC Daugavpils, last 5: LDWWW Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Super Nova, at home. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 0.8 conceded per game.
Momentum favours BFC Daugavpils, collecting 2.2 points per game to 0.5 for Grobiņa.
Head to head
When they last met (7 Mar 2026) it ended BFC Daugavpils 0–1 Grobiņa.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Grobiņa 1.0 xG, BFC Daugavpils 1.4 xG – a total near 2.3. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 44%, GG 53%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Grobiņa 30%, draw 26%, BFC Daugavpils 44%.
GG/NG: GG (53%) at 1.80.
Price worth noting: BFC Daugavpils to win @2.55 – the bookmaker implies 39%, our ratings say 44%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (77%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Grobiņa 0–1 BFC Daugavpils. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Grobiņa30%fair 3.32 · @2.55
Draw26%fair 3.80 · @3.20
BFC Daugavpils44%fair 2.29 · @2.55
2.35Expected goals
0.96Grobiņa xG
1.39BFC Daugavpils xG
53%Both score
44%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–113%
1–113%
0–010%
0–29%
1–09%
1–29%
From our goals model: Grobiņa 1.0 – 1.4 BFC Daugavpils expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Grobiņa vs BFC Daugavpils?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Grobiņa vs BFC Daugavpils?
On our numbers Grobiņa have a 30% chance of winning, the draw 26% and BFC Daugavpils 44%.
How many goals will there be in Grobiņa vs BFC Daugavpils?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Grobiņa vs BFC Daugavpils?
Our predicted score is Grobiņa 0–1 BFC Daugavpils, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Grobiņa vs BFC Daugavpils?
Grobiņa vs BFC Daugavpils (Virsliga) kicks off on Saturday 2 May 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
