Ogre United 9%Draw 16%Rīgas FS 76%Expected goals 0.68 – 2.47
62%
Betarazi pick
Over 2.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.60 · bookmaker 1.45
5/10Rating
1.45Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.00 – our chance 54% vs 50% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk.
Picks by market
ResultRīgas FS to win76% · @1.17
Double chanceRīgas FS or draw91% · @1.01
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score54% · @2.00
GoalsOver 1.5 goals82% · fair 1.21
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–29% · fair 11.25
Ogre United vs Rīgas FS: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Ogre United welcome Rīgas FS for a Virsliga fixture on Saturday 2 May (15:00 WAT). In the table, Ogre United are 10th, in the drop zone, on 19 points after 36 matches; Rīgas FS are 1st (leading the league) with 89. There are 70 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Ogre United, last 5: LLDDL Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to FS Jelgava, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 4. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.
Rīgas FS, last 5: DWWWL Their latest outing: 3–3 draw with Riga, at home. Away from home the record reads 4 won, 0 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 0.8 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Rīgas FS, collecting 2.2 points per game to 0.3 for Ogre United.
Head to head
When they last met (6 Mar 2026) it ended Rīgas FS 2–0 Ogre United.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Ogre United 0.7 xG, Rīgas FS 2.5 xG – a total near 3.2. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 62% and GG at 54%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Ogre United 9%, draw 16%, Rīgas FS 76%.
GG/NG: GG (54%) at 2.00.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.00 – the bookmaker implies 50%, our ratings say 54%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (62%, odds 1.45). Most likely score in line with that pick: Ogre United 0–3 Rīgas FS. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Ogre United9%fair 11.45 · @14.00
Draw16%fair 6.38 · @5.75
Rīgas FS76%fair 1.32 · @1.17
3.16Expected goals
0.68Ogre United xG
2.47Rīgas FS xG
54%Both score
62%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–213%
0–311%
0–111%
1–29%
1–37%
1–17%
From our goals model: Ogre United 0.7 – 2.5 Rīgas FS expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Ogre United vs Rīgas FS?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 62% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.45.
Who will win Ogre United vs Rīgas FS?
On our numbers Ogre United have a 9% chance of winning, the draw 16% and Rīgas FS 76%.
How many goals will there be in Ogre United vs Rīgas FS?
We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 62% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Ogre United vs Rīgas FS?
Our predicted score is Ogre United 0–3 Rīgas FS, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.
When is Ogre United vs Rīgas FS?
Ogre United vs Rīgas FS (Virsliga) kicks off on Saturday 2 May 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
