Tukums vs Ogre United: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Thursday 7 May the Virsliga brings Tukums against Ogre United. Kick-off: 16:00 WAT. In the table, Tukums are 9th, in the drop zone, on 25 points after 36 matches; Ogre United are 10th (in the drop zone) with 19.
Current form
Tukums, last 5: WLDDL Their latest outing: 5–0 win over FS Jelgava, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 4. The attack is flying at 2.2 goals per game.
Ogre United, last 5: LLDDL Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to FS Jelgava, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.
Momentum favours Tukums, collecting 1.0 points per game to 0.3 for Ogre United.
Head to head
When they last met (15 Mar 2026) it ended Ogre United 1–1 Tukums.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Tukums 1.8 xG, Ogre United 1.1 xG – a total near 2.9. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 54%, GG 59%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Tukums 55%, draw 24%, Ogre United 22%.
Lower-risk option: Tukums or draw (78%) at 1.14.
GG/NG: GG (59%) at 1.70.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (77%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Tukums 1–1 Ogre United. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Tukums55%fair 1.83 · @1.67
Draw24%fair 4.25 · @3.65
Ogre United22%fair 4.57 · @4.40
2.90Expected goals
1.79Tukums xG
1.11Ogre United xG
59%Both score
54%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–111%
1–010%
2–110%
2–09%
0–16%
1–26%
From our goals model: Tukums 1.8 – 1.1 Ogre United expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Tukums vs Ogre United?
On our numbers Tukums have a 55% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Ogre United 22%.
How many goals will there be in Tukums vs Ogre United?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Tukums vs Ogre United?
Our predicted score is Tukums 1–1 Ogre United, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Tukums vs Ogre United?
Tukums vs Ogre United (Virsliga) kicks off on Thursday 7 May 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
