18:00 WAT, Thursday 7 May: Auda v Grobiņa in the Virsliga, played at Skonto stadions. In the table, Auda are 3rd, among the top four, on 73 points after 36 matches; Grobiņa are 8th (in the drop zone) with 29. There are 44 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Auda, last 5: WWWDL Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Super Nova, away. The attack is flying at 2.0 goals per game.
Grobiņa, last 5: DDLLD Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with BFC Daugavpils, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game.
Momentum favours Auda, collecting 2.2 points per game to 0.5 for Grobiņa.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Auda 2.1 xG, Grobiņa 0.8 xG – a total near 2.9. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 55%, GG 53%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Auda 69%, draw 19%, Grobiņa 12%.
GG/NG: GG (53%) at 1.83.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (77%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Auda 2–0 Grobiņa. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Auda69%fair 1.45 · @1.40
Draw19%fair 5.25 · @4.20
Grobiņa12%fair 8.24 · @6.75
2.87Expected goals
2.11Auda xG
0.76Grobiņa xG
53%Both score
55%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–013%
1–012%
2–110%
1–19%
3–09%
3–17%
From our goals model: Auda 2.1 – 0.8 Grobiņa expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Auda to win✓
69%
1.45
1.40
Double chance
Auda or draw✓
88%
1.14
1.05
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
53%
1.90
1.83
Draw no bet
Auda (draw no bet)✓
85%
1.18
–
Asian handicap
Auda -0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
69%
1.46
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
77%
1.30
1.22
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
55%
1.83
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
67%
1.49
1.40
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
84%
1.19
–
First team to score
Auda to score first✓
69%
1.44
–
Half-time result
Auda ahead at half-time✓
49%
2.03
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Auda / FT Auda✓
45%
2.23
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.43
–
Recent results
Auda – last 6
WWWDLW
1 May
@ Super Nova
2–1
W
26 Apr
vs Tukums
2–1
W
21 Apr
@ FS Jelgava
3–2
W
17 Apr
@ Ogre United
1–1
D
12 Apr
vs BFC Daugavpils
2–3
L
8 Apr
@ FK Liepaja
2–1
W
2.0Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
100%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Grobiņa – last 6
DDLLDL
2 May
vs BFC Daugavpils
1–1
D
28 Apr
@ FK Liepaja
1–1
D
22 Apr
vs Rīgas FS
0–1
L
18 Apr
vs Riga
0–3
L
13 Apr
@ Ogre United
1–1
D
9 Apr
vs Super Nova
0–1
L
0.5Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Auda and Grobiņa.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Auda vs Grobiņa?
On our numbers Auda have a 69% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Grobiņa 12%.
How many goals will there be in Auda vs Grobiņa?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Auda vs Grobiņa?
Our predicted score is Auda 2–0 Grobiņa, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Auda vs Grobiņa?
Auda vs Grobiņa (Virsliga) kicks off on Thursday 7 May 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time) at Skonto stadions.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.