Rīgas FS 67%Draw 21%FK Liepaja 12%Expected goals 2.11 – 0.78
78%
Betarazi pick
Over 1.5 goals
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.28 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 1.85 – our chance 57% vs 54% implied by the price (edge +6%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultRīgas FS to win ✓67% · @1.33
Double chanceRīgas FS or draw ✓88% · @1.02
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗57% · @1.85
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.35
Rīgas FS vs FK Liepaja: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
FK Liepaja travel to face Rīgas FS on Friday 8 May in the Virsliga, with LNK Sporta Parks - artificial grass the venue – the ball rolls at 17:00 WAT. In the table, Rīgas FS are 1st, leading the league, on 89 points after 35 matches; FK Liepaja are 5th (upper half) with 51. There are 38 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Rīgas FS, last 5: DWWWL Their latest outing: 3–3 draw with Riga, at home. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 0.8 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
FK Liepaja, last 5: LDWDL Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Riga, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Rīgas FS, collecting 2.2 points per game to 0.8 for FK Liepaja.
Head to head
When they last met (13 Mar 2026) it ended FK Liepaja 0–1 Rīgas FS.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Rīgas FS 2.1 xG, FK Liepaja 0.8 xG – a total near 2.9. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 56%, GG 57%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Rīgas FS 67%, draw 21%, FK Liepaja 12%.
GG/NG: GG (57%) at 1.85.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @1.85 – the bookmaker implies 54%, our ratings say 57%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (78%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Rīgas FS 2–0 FK Liepaja. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Rīgas FS67%fair 1.49 · @1.33
Draw21%fair 4.83 · @4.40
FK Liepaja12%fair 8.24 · @8.00
2.89Expected goals
2.11Rīgas FS xG
0.78FK Liepaja xG
57%Both score
56%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–012%
1–012%
2–110%
1–19%
3–09%
3–17%
From our goals model: Rīgas FS 2.1 – 0.8 FK Liepaja expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Rīgas FS vs FK Liepaja?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Rīgas FS vs FK Liepaja?
On our numbers Rīgas FS have a 67% chance of winning, the draw 21% and FK Liepaja 12%.
How many goals will there be in Rīgas FS vs FK Liepaja?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Rīgas FS vs FK Liepaja?
Our predicted score is Rīgas FS 2–0 FK Liepaja, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Rīgas FS vs FK Liepaja?
Rīgas FS vs FK Liepaja (Virsliga) kicks off on Friday 8 May 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at LNK Sporta Parks - artificial grass.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
