Grobiņa vs FS Jelgava: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Grobiņa welcome FS Jelgava for a Virsliga fixture on Monday 11 May (16:00 WAT). In the table, Grobiņa are 8th, in the drop zone, on 29 points after 36 matches; FS Jelgava are 7th (lower half) with 35.
Current form
Grobiņa, last 5: LDDLL Their latest outing: 0–7 defeat to Auda, away. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game.
FS Jelgava, last 5: WLWLL Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Super Nova, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.
Momentum favours FS Jelgava, collecting 1.0 points per game to 0.5 for Grobiņa.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Grobiņa 1.2 xG, FS Jelgava 1.4 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 48%, GG 59%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Grobiņa 34%, draw 26%, FS Jelgava 41%.
GG/NG: GG (59%) at 1.70.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (73%, odds 1.28). Most likely score in line with that pick: Grobiņa 1–1 FS Jelgava. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Grobiņa34%fair 2.98 · @2.62
Draw26%fair 3.88 · @3.20
FS Jelgava41%fair 2.46 · @2.45
2.60Expected goals
1.21Grobiņa xG
1.40FS Jelgava xG
59%Both score
48%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
0–110%
1–09%
1–29%
2–18%
0–07%
From our goals model: Grobiņa 1.2 – 1.4 FS Jelgava expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
FS Jelgava to win✗
41%
2.46
2.45
Double chance
Either team to win✗
74%
1.35
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
59%
1.69
1.70
Draw no bet
FS Jelgava (draw no bet)
55%
1.82
–
Asian handicap
Grobiņa +1 (Asian handicap)✓
75%
1.33
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
72%
1.38
1.30
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
52%
1.92
1.77
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
73%
1.37
1.28
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
88%
1.14
–
First team to score
FS Jelgava to score first✗
50%
2.01
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
43%
2.32
–
Half-time / full-time
HT FS Jelgava / FT FS Jelgava✗
24%
4.14
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
11.48
–
Recent results
Grobiņa – last 6
LDDLLD
7 May
@ Auda
0–7
L
2 May
vs BFC Daugavpils
1–1
D
28 Apr
@ FK Liepaja
1–1
D
22 Apr
vs Rīgas FS
0–1
L
18 Apr
vs Riga
0–3
L
13 Apr
@ Ogre United
1–1
D
0.5Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
FS Jelgava – last 6
WLWLLL
6 May
vs Super Nova
1–0
W
1 May
@ Tukums
0–5
L
27 Apr
@ Ogre United
1–0
W
21 Apr
vs Auda
2–3
L
16 Apr
@ BFC Daugavpils
0–1
L
8 Apr
vs Rīgas FS
0–1
L
0.7Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
17%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Grobiņa and FS Jelgava.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Grobiņa vs FS Jelgava?
On our numbers Grobiņa have a 34% chance of winning, the draw 26% and FS Jelgava 41%.
How many goals will there be in Grobiņa vs FS Jelgava?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Grobiņa vs FS Jelgava?
Our predicted score is Grobiņa 1–1 FS Jelgava, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Grobiņa vs FS Jelgava?
Grobiņa vs FS Jelgava (Virsliga) kicks off on Monday 11 May 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
