FK Liepaja vs Ogre United: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Tuesday 12 May the Virsliga brings FK Liepaja against Ogre United at Daugavas stadions. Kick-off: 16:00 WAT. In the table, FK Liepaja are 5th, upper half, on 51 points after 36 matches; Ogre United are 10th (in the drop zone) with 19. There are 32 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
FK Liepaja, last 5: LLDWD Their latest outing: 0–5 defeat to Rīgas FS, away. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 2.0 conceded per game.
Ogre United, last 5: LLLDD Their latest outing: 1–6 defeat to Tukums, away. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.
Momentum favours FK Liepaja, collecting 0.8 points per game to 0.3 for Ogre United.
Head to head
When they last met (20 Mar 2026) it ended Ogre United 0–1 FK Liepaja.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give FK Liepaja 2.3 xG, Ogre United 0.9 xG – a total near 3.1. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 60% and GG at 56%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – FK Liepaja 69%, draw 20%, Ogre United 11%.
GG/NG: GG (56%) at 1.70.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was FK Liepaja to win (69%, odds 1.36). Most likely score in line with that pick: FK Liepaja 2–0 Ogre United. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
FK Liepaja69%fair 1.45 · @1.36
Draw20%fair 5.07 · @4.40
Ogre United11%fair 8.86 · @7.25
3.10Expected goals
2.25FK Liepaja xG
0.85Ogre United xG
56%Both score
60%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–011%
1–010%
2–110%
1–19%
3–09%
3–17%
From our goals model: FK Liepaja 2.3 – 0.9 Ogre United expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for FK Liepaja vs Ogre United?
Our pick is FK Liepaja to win with a 69% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.36.
Who will win FK Liepaja vs Ogre United?
On our numbers FK Liepaja have a 69% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Ogre United 11%.
How many goals will there be in FK Liepaja vs Ogre United?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 60% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for FK Liepaja vs Ogre United?
Our predicted score is FK Liepaja 2–0 Ogre United, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is FK Liepaja vs Ogre United?
FK Liepaja vs Ogre United (Virsliga) kicks off on Tuesday 12 May 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Daugavas stadions.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
