Good pick · fair odds 1.58 · bookmaker 1.55 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.55Odds
Picks by market
ResultRiga to win ✓64% · @1.48
Double chanceRiga or draw ✓85% · @1.07
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓60% · @1.62
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓82% · @1.17
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.32
Riga vs Auda: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
17:00 WAT, Tuesday 12 May: Riga v Auda in the Virsliga, played at Skonto stadions. In the table, Riga are 2nd, among the top four, on 83 points after 35 matches; Auda are 3rd (among the top four) with 73.
Current form
Riga, last 5: WWDWW Their latest outing: 3–1 win over BFC Daugavpils, away. Scoring is no problem – 3.0 a game lately. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Auda, last 5: WWWWD Their latest outing: 7–0 win over Grobiņa, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Scoring is no problem – 2.8 a game lately.
Momentum favours Riga, collecting 2.7 points per game to 2.2 for Auda.
Head to head
When they last met (20 Mar 2026) it ended Auda 1–2 Riga. The last 2 head-to-heads: Riga 2 wins, Auda 0, draws 0. Those games averaged 4.0 goals and saw GG land 2 times.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Riga 2.3 xG, Auda 1.1 xG – a total near 3.4. That is an open game on paper: 63% for three or more goals, 60% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Riga 64%, draw 21%, Auda 15%.
GG/NG: GG (60%) at 1.62.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (63%, odds 1.55). Most likely score in line with that pick: Riga 2–1 Auda. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Riga64%fair 1.57 · @1.48
Draw21%fair 4.68 · @4.10
Auda15%fair 6.75 · @5.75
3.42Expected goals
2.31Riga xG
1.11Auda xG
60%Both score
63%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–110%
2–09%
1–18%
1–08%
3–17%
3–07%
From our goals model: Riga 2.3 – 1.1 Auda expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.55.
Who will win Riga vs Auda?
On our numbers Riga have a 64% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Auda 15%.
How many goals will there be in Riga vs Auda?
We expect about 3.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 63% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Riga vs Auda?
Our predicted score is Riga 2–1 Auda, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.4 goals in total.
When is Riga vs Auda?
Riga vs Auda (Virsliga) kicks off on Tuesday 12 May 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Skonto stadions.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
