16:00 WAT, Wednesday 20 May: Tukums v Riga in the Virsliga. In the table, Tukums are 9th, in the drop zone, on 25 points after 36 matches; Riga are 2nd (among the top four) with 83. There are 58 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Tukums, last 5: DWWLD Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Super Nova, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 4. 2.7 goals per outing makes them dangerous.
Riga, last 5: WWWDW Their latest outing: 4–1 win over Auda, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. The attack is flying at 3.0 goals per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Riga, collecting 2.7 points per game to 1.5 for Tukums.
Head to head
When they last met (9 Apr 2026) it ended Riga 3–3 Tukums.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Tukums 0.9 xG, Riga 2.6 xG – a total near 3.5. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 66% and GG at 56%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Tukums 10%, draw 17%, Riga 73%.
GG/NG: GG (56%) at 1.82.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Riga to win (73%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Tukums 0–2 Riga. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Tukums10%fair 9.72 · @9.50
Draw17%fair 5.94 · @5.40
Riga73%fair 1.37 · @1.22
3.47Expected goals
0.89Tukums xG
2.58Riga xG
56%Both score
66%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–210%
1–29%
0–39%
0–18%
1–38%
1–17%
From our goals model: Tukums 0.9 – 2.6 Riga expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Riga to win with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Tukums vs Riga?
On our numbers Tukums have a 10% chance of winning, the draw 17% and Riga 73%.
How many goals will there be in Tukums vs Riga?
We expect about 3.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 66% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Tukums vs Riga?
Our predicted score is Tukums 0–2 Riga, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.5 goals in total.
When is Tukums vs Riga?
Tukums vs Riga (Virsliga) kicks off on Wednesday 20 May 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
