Grobiņa vs Super Nova: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Super Nova travel to face Grobiņa on Wednesday 20 May in the Virsliga – the ball rolls at 17:00 WAT. In the table, Grobiņa are 8th, in the drop zone, on 29 points after 36 matches; Super Nova are 6th (lower half) with 40.
Current form
Grobiņa, last 5: DLDDL Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with FS Jelgava, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 4. Scoring is the worry: just 0.3 goals a game.
Super Nova, last 5: DLLWL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Tukums, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Head to head
When they last met (9 Apr 2026) it ended Grobiņa 0–1 Super Nova.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Grobiņa 1.2 xG, Super Nova 1.2 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 43%, GG 56%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Grobiņa 35%, draw 28%, Super Nova 37%.
GG/NG: GG (56%) at 1.80.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (77%, odds 1.21). Most likely score in line with that pick: Grobiņa 1–1 Super Nova. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Grobiņa35%fair 2.84 · @2.43
Draw28%fair 3.63 · @3.00
Super Nova37%fair 2.69 · @2.75
2.39Expected goals
1.17Grobiņa xG
1.22Super Nova xG
56%Both score
43%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
0–111%
1–011%
0–09%
1–28%
2–18%
From our goals model: Grobiņa 1.2 – 1.2 Super Nova expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.21.
Who will win Grobiņa vs Super Nova?
On our numbers Grobiņa have a 35% chance of winning, the draw 28% and Super Nova 37%.
How many goals will there be in Grobiņa vs Super Nova?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Grobiņa vs Super Nova?
Our predicted score is Grobiņa 1–1 Super Nova, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Grobiņa vs Super Nova?
Grobiņa vs Super Nova (Virsliga) kicks off on Wednesday 20 May 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
