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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

BFC Daugavpils v Ogre United: numbers & prediction

Virsliga · Latvia · Stadions Celtnieks
3–1
FT
BFC Daugavpils 66%Draw 20%Ogre United 14% Expected goals 2.15 – 0.80
66%
Betarazi pick

BFC Daugavpils to win

Good pick · fair odds 1.51 · bookmaker 1.44 · Won ✓

6/10Rating
1.44Odds

Picks by market

ResultBFC Daugavpils to win ✓66% · @1.44
Double chanceBFC Daugavpils or draw ✓86% · @1.06
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓58% · @1.70
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79% · @1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.35

BFC Daugavpils vs Ogre United: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

BFC Daugavpils welcome Ogre United to Stadions Celtnieks for a Virsliga fixture on Thursday 21 May (16:00 WAT). In the table, BFC Daugavpils are 4th, among the top four, on 52 points after 36 matches; Ogre United are 10th (in the drop zone) with 19. There are 33 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

BFC Daugavpils, last 5: LLLDL Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to FK Liepaja, away. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.

Ogre United, last 5: LLLLD Their latest outing: 1–4 defeat to FK Liepaja, away. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.

Head to head

When they last met (7 Apr 2026) it ended BFC Daugavpils 2–1 Ogre United.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give BFC Daugavpils 2.2 xG, Ogre United 0.8 xG – a total near 3.0. That is an open game on paper: 57% for three or more goals, 58% for GG.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – BFC Daugavpils 66%, draw 20%, Ogre United 14%.
  • GG/NG: GG (58%) at 1.70.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was BFC Daugavpils to win (66%, odds 1.44). Most likely score in line with that pick: BFC Daugavpils 2–0 Ogre United. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

BFC Daugavpils66%fair 1.51 · @1.44
Draw20%fair 4.98 · @4.20
Ogre United14%fair 7.37 · @6.20
2.95Expected goals
2.15BFC Daugavpils xG
0.80Ogre United xG
58%Both score
57%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

2–012%
1–011%
2–110%
1–19%
3–09%
3–17%

From our goals model: BFC Daugavpils 2.2 – 0.8 Ogre United expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultBFC Daugavpils to win ✓66%1.511.44
Double chanceBFC Daugavpils or draw ✓86%1.161.06
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓58%1.731.70
Draw no betBFC Daugavpils (draw no bet) ✓83%1.20–
Asian handicapBFC Daugavpils -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓69%1.46–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79%1.271.18
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓57%1.751.62
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗64%1.551.48
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓82%1.21–
First team to scoreBFC Daugavpils to score first ✓69%1.45–
Half-time resultBFC Daugavpils ahead at half-time ✓49%2.02–
Half-time / full-timeHT BFC Daugavpils / FT BFC Daugavpils ✓45%2.22–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10%10.35–

Recent results

BFC Daugavpils – last 6

LLLDLD
17 May@ FK Liepaja1–2L
13 Mayvs Rīgas FS0–1L
8 Mayvs Riga1–3L
2 May@ Grobiņa1–1D
27 Aprvs Super Nova0–1L
21 Apr@ Tukums1–1D
0.7Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Ogre United – last 6

LLLLDD
12 May@ FK Liepaja1–4L
7 May@ Tukums1–6L
27 Aprvs FS Jelgava0–1L
22 Apr@ Riga0–4L
17 Aprvs Auda1–1D
13 Aprvs Grobiņa1–1D
0.7Scored / game
2.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

7 Apr 2026BFC Daugavpils v Ogre United2–1
BFC Daugavpils vs Ogre United head-to-head page →

Virsliga table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Rīgas FS352852+6389
2Riga352582+6283
3Auda362277+2473
4BFC Daugavpils36141012+552
5FK Liepaja3614913+151
6Super Nova3611718-1840
7FS Jelgava369819-2035
8Grobiņa3661119-3829
9Tukums3651021-2425
10Ogre United364725-5519

More Virsliga predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for BFC Daugavpils vs Ogre United?

Our pick is BFC Daugavpils to win with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.

Who will win BFC Daugavpils vs Ogre United?

On our numbers BFC Daugavpils have a 66% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Ogre United 14%.

How many goals will there be in BFC Daugavpils vs Ogre United?

We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 57% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for BFC Daugavpils vs Ogre United?

Our predicted score is BFC Daugavpils 2–0 Ogre United, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.

When is BFC Daugavpils vs Ogre United?

BFC Daugavpils vs Ogre United (Virsliga) kicks off on Thursday 21 May 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadions Celtnieks.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.