Rīgas FS 77%Draw 16%FS Jelgava 7%Expected goals 2.48 – 0.68
63%
Betarazi pick
Over 2.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.58 · bookmaker 1.42 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.42Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.38 – our chance 52% vs 42% implied by the price (edge +24%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultRīgas FS to win ✓77% · @1.11
Double chanceRīgas FS or draw ✓93% · fair 1.07
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗52% · @2.38
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓82% · fair 1.21
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.25
Rīgas FS vs FS Jelgava: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
FS Jelgava travel to face Rīgas FS on Thursday 21 May in the Virsliga, with LNK Sporta Parks the venue – the ball rolls at 18:00 WAT. In the table, Rīgas FS are 1st, leading the league, on 89 points after 35 matches; FS Jelgava are 7th (lower half) with 35. There are 54 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Rīgas FS, last 5: WWWDW Their latest outing: 3–0 win over Auda, away. The attack is flying at 2.5 goals per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
FS Jelgava, last 5: DWLWL Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Grobiņa, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 4. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Rīgas FS, collecting 2.7 points per game to 1.2 for FS Jelgava.
Head to head
When they last met (8 Apr 2026) it ended FS Jelgava 0–1 Rīgas FS.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Rīgas FS 2.5 xG, FS Jelgava 0.7 xG – a total near 3.2. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 63% and GG at 52%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Rīgas FS 77%, draw 16%, FS Jelgava 7%.
GG/NG: GG (52%) at 2.38.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.38 – the bookmaker implies 42%, our ratings say 52%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (63%, odds 1.42). Most likely score in line with that pick: Rīgas FS 3–0 FS Jelgava. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Rīgas FS77%fair 1.30 · @1.11
Draw16%fair 6.18 · @6.75
FS Jelgava7%fair 14.71 · @18.00
3.16Expected goals
2.48Rīgas FS xG
0.68FS Jelgava xG
52%Both score
63%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–013%
3–011%
1–010%
2–19%
3–17%
1–17%
From our goals model: Rīgas FS 2.5 – 0.7 FS Jelgava expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Rīgas FS vs FS Jelgava?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.42.
Who will win Rīgas FS vs FS Jelgava?
On our numbers Rīgas FS have a 77% chance of winning, the draw 16% and FS Jelgava 7%.
How many goals will there be in Rīgas FS vs FS Jelgava?
We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 63% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Rīgas FS vs FS Jelgava?
Our predicted score is Rīgas FS 3–0 FS Jelgava, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.
When is Rīgas FS vs FS Jelgava?
Rīgas FS vs FS Jelgava (Virsliga) kicks off on Thursday 21 May 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time) at LNK Sporta Parks.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
