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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Ogre United v Grobiņa: numbers & prediction

Virsliga · Latvia
1–1
FT
Ogre United 28%Draw 25%Grobiņa 47% Expected goals 1.28 – 1.51
74%
Betarazi pick

Over 1.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.35 · bookmaker 1.30 · Won ✓

8/10Rating
1.30Odds

Picks by market

ResultGrobiņa to win ✗47% · @1.91
Double chanceEither team to win ✗75% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓58% · @1.73
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓74% · @1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.17

Ogre United vs Grobiņa: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

16:00 WAT, Monday 25 May: Ogre United v Grobiņa in the Virsliga. In the table, Ogre United are 10th, in the drop zone, on 19 points after 36 matches; Grobiņa are 8th (in the drop zone) with 29.

Current form

Ogre United, last 5: LLLLL Their latest outing: 1–3 defeat to BFC Daugavpils, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.

Grobiņa, last 5: LDLDD Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Super Nova, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.3 goals a game.

Head to head

When they last met (13 Apr 2026) it ended Ogre United 1–1 Grobiņa.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Ogre United 1.3 xG, Grobiņa 1.5 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 51%, GG 58%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Ogre United 28%, draw 25%, Grobiņa 47%.
  • GG/NG: GG (58%) at 1.73.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (74%, odds 1.30). Most likely score in line with that pick: Ogre United 1–1 Grobiņa. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Ogre United28%fair 3.53 · @3.55
Draw25%fair 3.98 · @3.35
Grobiņa47%fair 2.15 · @1.91
2.79Expected goals
1.28Ogre United xG
1.51Grobiņa xG
58%Both score
51%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–112%
0–19%
1–29%
1–08%
2–18%
0–27%

From our goals model: Ogre United 1.3 – 1.5 Grobiņa expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultGrobiņa to win ✗47%2.151.91
Double chanceEither team to win ✗75%1.341.22
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓58%1.731.73
Draw no betGrobiņa (draw no bet)62%1.61–
Asian handicapOgre United +1 (Asian handicap) ✓73%1.36–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓74%1.351.30
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗51%1.981.93
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓71%1.411.28
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓85%1.18–
First team to scoreGrobiņa to score first51%1.97–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓41%2.42–
Half-time / full-timeHT Grobiņa / FT Grobiņa ✗25%3.97–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9%11.17–

Recent results

Ogre United – last 6

LLLLLD
21 May@ BFC Daugavpils1–3L
12 May@ FK Liepaja1–4L
7 May@ Tukums1–6L
27 Aprvs FS Jelgava0–1L
22 Apr@ Riga0–4L
17 Aprvs Auda1–1D
0.7Scored / game
3.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Grobiņa – last 6

LDLDDL
20 Mayvs Super Nova0–2L
11 Mayvs FS Jelgava0–0D
7 May@ Auda0–7L
2 Mayvs BFC Daugavpils1–1D
28 Apr@ FK Liepaja1–1D
22 Aprvs Rīgas FS0–1L
0.3Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5

Head to head

13 Apr 2026Ogre United v Grobiņa1–1
Ogre United vs Grobiņa head-to-head page →

Virsliga table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Rīgas FS352852+6389
2Riga352582+6283
3Auda362277+2473
4BFC Daugavpils36141012+552
5FK Liepaja3614913+151
6Super Nova3611718-1840
7FS Jelgava369819-2035
8Grobiņa3661119-3829
9Tukums3651021-2425
10Ogre United364725-5519

More Virsliga predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Ogre United vs Grobiņa?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.

Who will win Ogre United vs Grobiņa?

On our numbers Ogre United have a 28% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Grobiņa 47%.

How many goals will there be in Ogre United vs Grobiņa?

We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Ogre United vs Grobiņa?

Our predicted score is Ogre United 1–1 Grobiņa, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.

When is Ogre United vs Grobiņa?

Ogre United vs Grobiņa (Virsliga) kicks off on Monday 25 May 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.