Value bet: Both teams to score @ 1.90 – our chance 57% vs 53% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultRīgas FS to win ✓79% · @1.13
Double chanceRīgas FS or draw ✓93% · fair 1.07
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓57% · @1.90
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓70% · @1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 12.10
Rīgas FS vs Tukums: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Monday 25 May the Virsliga brings Rīgas FS against Tukums at LNK Sporta Parks. Kick-off: 17:00 WAT. In the table, Rīgas FS are 1st, leading the league, on 89 points after 35 matches; Tukums are 9th (in the drop zone) with 25. There are 64 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Rīgas FS, last 5: WWWWD Their latest outing: 4–0 win over FS Jelgava, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. 2.8 goals per outing makes them dangerous. Defensively they have kept 5 clean sheets in that run.
Tukums, last 5: LDWWL Their latest outing: 1–3 defeat to Riga, at home. Scoring is no problem – 2.5 a game lately.
Momentum favours Rīgas FS, collecting 2.7 points per game to 1.3 for Tukums.
Head to head
When they last met (13 Apr 2026) it ended Tukums 1–2 Rīgas FS.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Rīgas FS 2.8 xG, Tukums 0.7 xG – a total near 3.5. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 70% and GG at 57%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Rīgas FS 79%, draw 14%, Tukums 7%.
GG/NG: GG (57%) at 1.90.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @1.90 – the bookmaker implies 53%, our ratings say 57%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (70%, odds 1.30). Most likely score in line with that pick: Rīgas FS 3–0 Tukums. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Rīgas FS79%fair 1.26 · @1.13
Draw14%fair 7.12 · @6.80
Tukums7%fair 14.60 · @14.00
3.48Expected goals
2.79Rīgas FS xG
0.69Tukums xG
57%Both score
70%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–012%
3–011%
1–09%
2–18%
4–08%
3–18%
From our goals model: Rīgas FS 2.8 – 0.7 Tukums expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 70% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win Rīgas FS vs Tukums?
On our numbers Rīgas FS have a 79% chance of winning, the draw 14% and Tukums 7%.
How many goals will there be in Rīgas FS vs Tukums?
We expect about 3.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 70% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Rīgas FS vs Tukums?
Our predicted score is Rīgas FS 3–0 Tukums, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.5 goals in total.
When is Rīgas FS vs Tukums?
Rīgas FS vs Tukums (Virsliga) kicks off on Monday 25 May 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at LNK Sporta Parks.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
