Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.15 – our chance 54% vs 47% implied by the price (edge +15%). Bigger price, more risk.
Picks by market
ResultRiga to win80% · @1.10
Double chanceRiga or draw93% · fair 1.08
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score54% · @2.15
GoalsOver 2.5 goals70% · @1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–18% · fair 12.22
Riga vs Grobiņa: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Grobiņa travel to face Riga on Friday 29 May in the Virsliga, with Skonto stadions the venue – the ball rolls at 16:00 WAT. In the table, Riga are 2nd, among the top four, on 83 points after 35 matches; Grobiņa are 8th (in the drop zone) with 29. There are 54 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Riga, last 5: WWWWW Their latest outing: 3–0 win over Super Nova, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. 2.8 goals per outing makes them dangerous.
Grobiņa, last 5: DLDLD Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Ogre United, away. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game.
Momentum favours Riga, collecting 2.7 points per game to 0.7 for Grobiņa.
Head to head
When they last met (18 Apr 2026) it ended Grobiņa 0–3 Riga.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Riga 2.9 xG, Grobiņa 0.7 xG – a total near 3.6. That is an open game on paper: 70% for three or more goals, 54% for GG.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Riga 80%, draw 13%, Grobiņa 7%.
GG/NG: GG (54%) at 2.15.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.15 – the bookmaker implies 47%, our ratings say 54%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (70%, odds 1.30). Most likely score in line with that pick: Riga 3–0 Grobiņa. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Riga80%fair 1.25 · @1.10
Draw13%fair 7.88 · @7.20
Grobiņa7%fair 13.79 · @18.00
3.56Expected goals
2.85Riga xG
0.71Grobiņa xG
54%Both score
70%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–012%
3–011%
2–18%
1–08%
4–08%
3–18%
From our goals model: Riga 2.9 – 0.7 Grobiņa expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 70% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win Riga vs Grobiņa?
On our numbers Riga have a 80% chance of winning, the draw 13% and Grobiņa 7%.
How many goals will there be in Riga vs Grobiņa?
We expect about 3.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 70% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Riga vs Grobiņa?
Our predicted score is Riga 3–0 Grobiņa, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.6 goals in total.
When is Riga vs Grobiņa?
Riga vs Grobiņa (Virsliga) kicks off on Friday 29 May 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Skonto stadions.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
