FK Liepaja 59%Draw 22%Tukums 19%Expected goals 2.00 – 1.03
64%
Betarazi pick
Both teams to score
Good pick · fair odds 1.57 · bookmaker 1.50 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.50Odds
Picks by market
ResultFK Liepaja to win ✓59% · @1.73
Double chanceFK Liepaja or draw ✓81% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗64% · @1.50
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓80% · @1.17
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.05
FK Liepaja vs Tukums: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
13:00 WAT, Saturday 30 May: FK Liepaja v Tukums in the Virsliga, played at Daugavas stadions. In the table, FK Liepaja are 5th, upper half, on 51 points after 36 matches; Tukums are 9th (in the drop zone) with 25. There are 26 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
FK Liepaja, last 5: DLWWL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with FS Jelgava, away. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 2.0 conceded per game.
Tukums, last 5: LLDWW Their latest outing: 1–3 defeat to Rīgas FS, away. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. 2.5 goals per outing makes them dangerous.
Head to head
When they last met (17 Apr 2026) it ended Tukums 2–2 FK Liepaja.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give FK Liepaja 2.0 xG, Tukums 1.0 xG – a total near 3.0. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 60% and GG at 64%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – FK Liepaja 59%, draw 22%, Tukums 19%.
Lower-risk option: FK Liepaja or draw (81%) at 1.18.
GG/NG: GG (64%) at 1.50.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (64%, odds 1.50). Most likely score in line with that pick: FK Liepaja 2–1 Tukums. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
FK Liepaja59%fair 1.70 · @1.73
Draw22%fair 4.54 · @3.80
Tukums19%fair 5.20 · @3.90
3.04Expected goals
2.00FK Liepaja xG
1.03Tukums xG
64%Both score
60%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–110%
1–110%
2–010%
1–010%
3–17%
3–06%
From our goals model: FK Liepaja 2.0 – 1.0 Tukums expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.
Who will win FK Liepaja vs Tukums?
On our numbers FK Liepaja have a 59% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Tukums 19%.
How many goals will there be in FK Liepaja vs Tukums?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 60% likely and both teams score 64% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for FK Liepaja vs Tukums?
Our predicted score is FK Liepaja 2–1 Tukums, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is FK Liepaja vs Tukums?
FK Liepaja vs Tukums (Virsliga) kicks off on Saturday 30 May 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time) at Daugavas stadions.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
