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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Auda v Ogre United: numbers & prediction

Virsliga · Latvia · Skonto stadions

Auda

WWLLW
2–0
FT
Auda 76%Draw 16%Ogre United 8% Expected goals 2.74 – 0.84
70%
Betarazi pick

Over 2.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.43 · bookmaker 1.33 · Lost ✗

7/10Rating
1.33Odds
GG

Value bet: Both teams to score @ 1.95 – our chance 56% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Picks by market

ResultAuda to win ✓76% · @1.14
Double chanceAuda or draw ✓92% · @1.01
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗56% · @1.95
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✗70% · @1.33
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.37

Auda vs Ogre United: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Saturday 30 May the Virsliga brings Auda against Ogre United at Skonto stadions. Kick-off: 15:00 WAT. In the table, Auda are 3rd, among the top four, on 73 points after 36 matches; Ogre United are 10th (in the drop zone) with 19. There are 54 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Auda, last 5: WWLLW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over BFC Daugavpils, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. The attack is flying at 2.3 goals per game.

Ogre United, last 5: DLLLL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Grobiņa, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 4 lost from 4. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.

Momentum favours Auda, collecting 2.0 points per game to 0.2 for Ogre United.

Head to head

When they last met (17 Apr 2026) it ended Ogre United 1–1 Auda.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Auda 2.7 xG, Ogre United 0.8 xG – a total near 3.6. That is an open game on paper: 70% for three or more goals, 56% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Auda 76%, draw 16%, Ogre United 8%.
  • GG/NG: GG (56%) at 1.95.
  • Price worth noting: Both teams to score @1.95 – the bookmaker implies 51%, our ratings say 56%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (70%, odds 1.33). Most likely score in line with that pick: Auda 3–0 Ogre United. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Auda76%fair 1.31 · @1.14
Draw16%fair 6.29 · @6.50
Ogre United8%fair 12.62 · @14.00
3.58Expected goals
2.74Auda xG
0.84Ogre United xG
56%Both score
70%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

2–010%
3–010%
2–19%
3–18%
1–08%
4–07%

From our goals model: Auda 2.7 – 0.8 Ogre United expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultAuda to win ✓76%1.311.14
Double chanceAuda or draw ✓92%1.091.01
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗56%1.781.95 ▲
Draw no betAuda (draw no bet) ✓91%1.10–
Asian handicapAuda -1 (Asian handicap) ✓71%1.41–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓87%1.15–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗70%1.431.33
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓51%1.961.85
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓70%1.431.36
First team to scoreAuda to score first ✓74%1.35–
Half-time resultAuda ahead at half-time ✓58%1.74–
Half-time / full-timeHT Auda / FT Auda ✓54%1.86–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9%11.37–

Recent results

Auda – last 6

WWLLWW
26 May@ BFC Daugavpils1–0W
22 Mayvs FK Liepaja3–1W
17 Mayvs Rīgas FS0–3L
12 May@ Riga1–4L
7 Mayvs Grobiņa7–0W
1 May@ Super Nova2–1W
2.3Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Ogre United – last 6

DLLLLL
25 Mayvs Grobiņa1–1D
21 May@ BFC Daugavpils1–3L
12 May@ FK Liepaja1–4L
7 May@ Tukums1–6L
27 Aprvs FS Jelgava0–1L
22 Apr@ Riga0–4L
0.7Scored / game
3.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

17 Apr 2026Ogre United v Auda1–1
Auda vs Ogre United head-to-head page →

Virsliga table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Rīgas FS352852+6389
2Riga352582+6283
3Auda362277+2473
4BFC Daugavpils36141012+552
5FK Liepaja3614913+151
6Super Nova3611718-1840
7FS Jelgava369819-2035
8Grobiņa3661119-3829
9Tukums3651021-2425
10Ogre United364725-5519

More Virsliga predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Auda vs Ogre United?

Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 70% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.33.

Who will win Auda vs Ogre United?

On our numbers Auda have a 76% chance of winning, the draw 16% and Ogre United 8%.

How many goals will there be in Auda vs Ogre United?

We expect about 3.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 70% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Auda vs Ogre United?

Our predicted score is Auda 3–0 Ogre United, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.6 goals in total.

When is Auda vs Ogre United?

Auda vs Ogre United (Virsliga) kicks off on Saturday 30 May 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Skonto stadions.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.