Tukums vs BFC Daugavpils: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
BFC Daugavpils travel to face Tukums on Friday 12 June in the Virsliga – the ball rolls at 16:00 WAT. In the table, Tukums are 9th, in the drop zone, on 25 points after 36 matches; BFC Daugavpils are 4th (among the top four) with 52. There are 27 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Tukums, last 5: LLLDW Their latest outing: 0–3 defeat to FK Liepaja, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is no problem – 2.3 a game lately.
BFC Daugavpils, last 5: DLWLL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with FS Jelgava, away. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Tukums, collecting 1.2 points per game to 0.7 for BFC Daugavpils.
Head to head
When they last met (21 Apr 2026) it ended Tukums 1–1 BFC Daugavpils.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Tukums 1.1 xG, BFC Daugavpils 1.6 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 53%, GG 59%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Tukums 32%, draw 25%, BFC Daugavpils 43%.
GG/NG: GG (59%) at 1.55.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (76%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Tukums 1–1 BFC Daugavpils. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Tukums32%fair 3.16 · @2.45
Draw25%fair 3.93 · @3.45
BFC Daugavpils43%fair 2.33 · @2.45
2.71Expected goals
1.14Tukums xG
1.57BFC Daugavpils xG
59%Both score
53%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
0–110%
1–29%
0–28%
1–08%
2–17%
From our goals model: Tukums 1.1 – 1.6 BFC Daugavpils expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Tukums vs BFC Daugavpils?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Tukums vs BFC Daugavpils?
On our numbers Tukums have a 32% chance of winning, the draw 25% and BFC Daugavpils 43%.
How many goals will there be in Tukums vs BFC Daugavpils?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Tukums vs BFC Daugavpils?
Our predicted score is Tukums 1–1 BFC Daugavpils, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Tukums vs BFC Daugavpils?
Tukums vs BFC Daugavpils (Virsliga) kicks off on Friday 12 June 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
