FK Liepaja vs Super Nova: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
FK Liepaja welcome Super Nova to Daugavas stadions for a Virsliga fixture on Friday 12 June (17:00 WAT). In the table, FK Liepaja are 5th, upper half, on 51 points after 36 matches; Super Nova are 6th (lower half) with 40.
Current form
FK Liepaja, last 5: WDLWW Their latest outing: 3–0 win over Tukums, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.
Super Nova, last 5: LLWDL Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Rīgas FS, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Momentum favours FK Liepaja, collecting 1.7 points per game to 0.7 for Super Nova.
Head to head
When they last met (23 Apr 2026) it ended Super Nova 1–2 FK Liepaja.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give FK Liepaja 1.7 xG, Super Nova 1.0 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 52%, GG 58%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – FK Liepaja 55%, draw 25%, Super Nova 20%.
Lower-risk option: FK Liepaja or draw (80%) at 1.14.
GG/NG: GG (58%) at 1.65.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (75%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: FK Liepaja 1–1 Super Nova. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
FK Liepaja55%fair 1.83 · @1.67
Draw25%fair 3.97 · @3.65
Super Nova20%fair 4.96 · @4.33
2.66Expected goals
1.70FK Liepaja xG
0.97Super Nova xG
58%Both score
52%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–012%
1–111%
2–010%
2–110%
0–07%
0–17%
From our goals model: FK Liepaja 1.7 – 1.0 Super Nova expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for FK Liepaja vs Super Nova?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win FK Liepaja vs Super Nova?
On our numbers FK Liepaja have a 55% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Super Nova 20%.
How many goals will there be in FK Liepaja vs Super Nova?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for FK Liepaja vs Super Nova?
Our predicted score is FK Liepaja 1–1 Super Nova, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is FK Liepaja vs Super Nova?
FK Liepaja vs Super Nova (Virsliga) kicks off on Friday 12 June 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Daugavas stadions.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
