BFC Daugavpils vs Super Nova: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Tuesday 16 June the Virsliga brings BFC Daugavpils against Super Nova at Stadions Celtnieks. Kick-off: 16:00 WAT. In the table, BFC Daugavpils are 4th, among the top four, on 52 points after 36 matches; Super Nova are 6th (lower half) with 40. There are 12 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
BFC Daugavpils, last 5: DDLWL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Tukums, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
Super Nova, last 5: LLLWD Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to FK Liepaja, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 3 lost from 4. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Head to head
When they last met (27 Apr 2026) it ended BFC Daugavpils 0–1 Super Nova.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give BFC Daugavpils 1.6 xG, Super Nova 0.8 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 47%, GG 57%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – BFC Daugavpils 53%, draw 27%, Super Nova 20%.
Lower-risk option: BFC Daugavpils or draw (80%) at 1.18.
GG/NG: GG (57%) at 1.70.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (74%, odds 1.33). Most likely score in line with that pick: BFC Daugavpils 1–0 Super Nova. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
BFC Daugavpils53%fair 1.89 · @1.85
Draw27%fair 3.76 · @3.35
Super Nova20%fair 4.90 · @3.80
2.43Expected goals
1.59BFC Daugavpils xG
0.84Super Nova xG
57%Both score
47%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–014%
1–112%
2–011%
2–19%
0–09%
0–17%
From our goals model: BFC Daugavpils 1.6 – 0.8 Super Nova expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for BFC Daugavpils vs Super Nova?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.33.
Who will win BFC Daugavpils vs Super Nova?
On our numbers BFC Daugavpils have a 53% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Super Nova 20%.
How many goals will there be in BFC Daugavpils vs Super Nova?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for BFC Daugavpils vs Super Nova?
Our predicted score is BFC Daugavpils 1–0 Super Nova, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is BFC Daugavpils vs Super Nova?
BFC Daugavpils vs Super Nova (Virsliga) kicks off on Tuesday 16 June 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadions Celtnieks.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
