Grobiņa vs FK Liepaja: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Grobiņa welcome FK Liepaja for a Virsliga fixture on Tuesday 16 June (17:00 WAT). In the table, Grobiņa are 8th, in the drop zone, on 29 points after 36 matches; FK Liepaja are 5th (upper half) with 51. There are 22 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Grobiņa, last 5: LDLDL Their latest outing: 1–3 defeat to Rīgas FS, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 4. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game.
FK Liepaja, last 5: WWDLW Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Super Nova, at home. Scoring is no problem – 2.2 a game lately.
Momentum favours FK Liepaja, collecting 2.2 points per game to 0.5 for Grobiņa.
Head to head
When they last met (28 Apr 2026) it ended FK Liepaja 1–1 Grobiņa.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Grobiņa 1.0 xG, FK Liepaja 1.6 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 51%, GG 59%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Grobiņa 23%, draw 25%, FK Liepaja 52%.
Lower-risk option: FK Liepaja or draw (77%) at 1.20.
GG/NG: GG (59%) at 1.67.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (75%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Grobiņa 1–1 FK Liepaja. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Grobiņa23%fair 4.35 · @3.60
Draw25%fair 3.98 · @3.50
FK Liepaja52%fair 1.93 · @1.85
2.69Expected goals
1.05Grobiņa xG
1.64FK Liepaja xG
59%Both score
51%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
0–111%
1–210%
0–29%
1–07%
0–07%
From our goals model: Grobiņa 1.0 – 1.6 FK Liepaja expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Grobiņa vs FK Liepaja?
On our numbers Grobiņa have a 23% chance of winning, the draw 25% and FK Liepaja 52%.
How many goals will there be in Grobiņa vs FK Liepaja?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Grobiņa vs FK Liepaja?
Our predicted score is Grobiņa 1–1 FK Liepaja, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Grobiņa vs FK Liepaja?
Grobiņa vs FK Liepaja (Virsliga) kicks off on Tuesday 16 June 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
