FS Jelgava 60%Draw 21%Ogre United 18%Expected goals 2.03 – 1.01
79%
Betarazi pick
Over 1.5 goals
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.27 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.22Odds
Picks by market
ResultFS Jelgava to win ✗60% · @1.55
Double chanceFS Jelgava or draw ✗82% · @1.10
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗56% · @1.73
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.05
FS Jelgava vs Ogre United: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Ogre United travel to face FS Jelgava on Wednesday 17 June in the Virsliga, with Zemgales Olimpiskais centrs the venue – the ball rolls at 16:00 WAT. In the table, FS Jelgava are 7th, lower half, on 35 points after 36 matches; Ogre United are 10th (in the drop zone) with 19. There are 16 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
FS Jelgava, last 5: DDDLD Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Auda, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.
Ogre United, last 5: LLDLL Their latest outing: 1–4 defeat to Riga, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 4 lost from 4. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Momentum favours FS Jelgava, collecting 1.2 points per game to 0.2 for Ogre United.
Head to head
When they last met (27 Apr 2026) it ended Ogre United 0–1 FS Jelgava.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give FS Jelgava 2.0 xG, Ogre United 1.0 xG – a total near 3.0. That is an open game on paper: 57% for three or more goals, 56% for GG.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – FS Jelgava 60%, draw 21%, Ogre United 18%.
GG/NG: GG (56%) at 1.73.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (79%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: FS Jelgava 2–1 Ogre United. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
FS Jelgava60%fair 1.66 · @1.55
Draw21%fair 4.73 · @3.95
Ogre United18%fair 5.41 · @5.10
3.04Expected goals
2.03FS Jelgava xG
1.01Ogre United xG
56%Both score
57%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–110%
2–010%
1–110%
1–010%
3–17%
3–07%
From our goals model: FS Jelgava 2.0 – 1.0 Ogre United expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for FS Jelgava vs Ogre United?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 79% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win FS Jelgava vs Ogre United?
On our numbers FS Jelgava have a 60% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Ogre United 18%.
How many goals will there be in FS Jelgava vs Ogre United?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 57% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for FS Jelgava vs Ogre United?
Our predicted score is FS Jelgava 2–1 Ogre United, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is FS Jelgava vs Ogre United?
FS Jelgava vs Ogre United (Virsliga) kicks off on Wednesday 17 June 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Zemgales Olimpiskais centrs.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
