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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Riga v Rīgas FS: numbers & prediction

Virsliga · Latvia · Skonto stadions

Riga

WWWWW
2–1
FT
Riga 40%Draw 25%Rīgas FS 35% Expected goals 1.61 – 1.48
78%
Betarazi pick

Over 1.5 goals

Very strong pick · fair odds 1.28 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓

9/10Rating
1.25Odds

Picks by market

ResultRiga to win ✓40% · @2.35
Double chanceEither team to win ✓75% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓64% · @1.60
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓9% · fair 11.45

Riga vs Rīgas FS: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Rīgas FS travel to face Riga on Wednesday 17 June in the Virsliga, with Skonto stadions the venue – the ball rolls at 17:00 WAT. In the table, Riga are 2nd, among the top four, on 83 points after 35 matches; Rīgas FS are 1st (leading the league) with 89.

Current form

Riga, last 5: WWWWW Their latest outing: 4–1 win over Ogre United, away. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. 3.0 goals per outing makes them dangerous.

Rīgas FS, last 5: WWWWW Their latest outing: 3–1 win over Grobiņa, away. Away from home the record reads 4 won, 0 lost from 4. The attack is flying at 2.7 goals per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Head to head

When they last met (28 Apr 2026) it ended Rīgas FS 3–3 Riga.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Riga 1.6 xG, Rīgas FS 1.5 xG – a total near 3.1. That is an open game on paper: 56% for three or more goals, 64% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Riga 40%, draw 25%, Rīgas FS 35%.
  • GG/NG: GG (64%) at 1.60.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (78%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Riga 1–1 Rīgas FS. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Riga40%fair 2.50 · @2.35
Draw25%fair 4.06 · @3.40
Rīgas FS35%fair 2.82 · @2.62
3.08Expected goals
1.61Riga xG
1.48Rīgas FS xG
64%Both score
56%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–111%
2–19%
1–28%
1–07%
0–17%
2–26%

From our goals model: Riga 1.6 – 1.5 Rīgas FS expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultRiga to win ✓40%2.502.35
Double chanceEither team to win ✓75%1.331.22
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓64%1.561.60
Draw no betRiga (draw no bet) ✓53%1.89–
Asian handicapRīgas FS +1 (Asian handicap)74%1.35–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78%1.281.25
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓56%1.791.77
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓66%1.521.36
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓80%1.25–
First team to scoreRiga to score first ✓50%2.01–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗39%2.56–
Half-time / full-timeHT Riga / FT Riga ✓24%4.10–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓9%11.45–

Recent results

Riga – last 6

WWWWWW
13 Jun@ Ogre United4–1W
24 Mayvs Super Nova3–0W
20 May@ Tukums3–1W
12 Mayvs Auda4–1W
8 May@ BFC Daugavpils3–1W
3 Mayvs FK Liepaja1–0W
3.0Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Rīgas FS – last 6

WWWWWW
13 Jun@ Grobiņa3–1W
29 May@ Super Nova2–1W
25 Mayvs Tukums3–1W
21 Mayvs FS Jelgava4–0W
17 May@ Auda3–0W
13 May@ BFC Daugavpils1–0W
2.7Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Head to head

28 Apr 2026Rīgas FS v Riga3–3
Riga vs Rīgas FS head-to-head page →

Virsliga table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Rīgas FS352852+6389
2Riga352582+6283
3Auda362277+2473
4BFC Daugavpils36141012+552
5FK Liepaja3614913+151
6Super Nova3611718-1840
7FS Jelgava369819-2035
8Grobiņa3661119-3829
9Tukums3651021-2425
10Ogre United364725-5519

More Virsliga predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Riga vs Rīgas FS?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.

Who will win Riga vs Rīgas FS?

On our numbers Riga have a 40% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Rīgas FS 35%.

How many goals will there be in Riga vs Rīgas FS?

We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score 64% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Riga vs Rīgas FS?

Our predicted score is Riga 1–1 Rīgas FS, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.

When is Riga vs Rīgas FS?

Riga vs Rīgas FS (Virsliga) kicks off on Wednesday 17 June 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Skonto stadions.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.