FS Jelgava vs Tukums: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Sunday 21 June the Virsliga brings FS Jelgava against Tukums at Zemgales Olimpiskais centrs. Kick-off: 14:00 WAT. In the table, FS Jelgava are 7th, lower half, on 35 points after 36 matches; Tukums are 9th (in the drop zone) with 25.
Current form
FS Jelgava, last 5: LDDDL Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Ogre United, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game.
Tukums, last 5: WDLLL Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Auda, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 2.0 conceded per game.
Head to head
When they last met (1 May 2026) it ended Tukums 5–0 FS Jelgava. The last 2 head-to-heads: FS Jelgava 1 win, Tukums 1, draws 0. Those games averaged 4.0 goals and saw GG land 1 time.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give FS Jelgava 1.7 xG, Tukums 1.2 xG – a total near 2.9. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 53%, GG 61%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – FS Jelgava 45%, draw 24%, Tukums 31%.
GG/NG: GG (61%) at 1.62.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (76%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: FS Jelgava 1–1 Tukums. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
FS Jelgava45%fair 2.24 · @2.20
Draw24%fair 4.14 · @3.45
Tukums31%fair 3.21 · @2.80
2.85Expected goals
1.66FS Jelgava xG
1.20Tukums xG
61%Both score
53%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–111%
1–010%
2–19%
2–08%
0–17%
1–27%
From our goals model: FS Jelgava 1.7 – 1.2 Tukums expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win FS Jelgava vs Tukums?
On our numbers FS Jelgava have a 45% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Tukums 31%.
How many goals will there be in FS Jelgava vs Tukums?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for FS Jelgava vs Tukums?
Our predicted score is FS Jelgava 1–1 Tukums, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is FS Jelgava vs Tukums?
FS Jelgava vs Tukums (Virsliga) kicks off on Sunday 21 June 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time) at Zemgales Olimpiskais centrs.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
