Riga vs FK Liepaja: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Sunday 21 June the Virsliga brings Riga against FK Liepaja at Skonto stadions. Kick-off: 16:00 WAT. In the table, Riga are 2nd, among the top four, on 83 points after 35 matches; FK Liepaja are 5th (upper half) with 51. There are 32 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Riga, last 5: WWWWW Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Rīgas FS, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. Scoring is no problem – 3.2 a game lately.
FK Liepaja, last 5: LWWDL Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Grobiņa, away. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Riga, collecting 3.0 points per game to 1.7 for FK Liepaja.
Head to head
When they last met (3 May 2026) it ended Riga 1–0 FK Liepaja.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Riga 2.4 xG, FK Liepaja 0.9 xG – a total near 3.3. That is an open game on paper: 62% for three or more goals, 56% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Riga 70%, draw 20%, FK Liepaja 11%.
GG/NG: GG (56%) at 1.80.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Riga to win (70%, odds 1.28). Most likely score in line with that pick: Riga 2–0 FK Liepaja. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Riga70%fair 1.44 · @1.28
Draw20%fair 5.08 · @4.80
FK Liepaja11%fair 9.26 · @8.60
3.26Expected goals
2.36Riga xG
0.90FK Liepaja xG
56%Both score
62%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–011%
2–110%
1–09%
3–08%
1–18%
3–18%
From our goals model: Riga 2.4 – 0.9 FK Liepaja expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Riga to win with a 70% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Riga vs FK Liepaja?
On our numbers Riga have a 70% chance of winning, the draw 20% and FK Liepaja 11%.
How many goals will there be in Riga vs FK Liepaja?
We expect about 3.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 62% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Riga vs FK Liepaja?
Our predicted score is Riga 2–0 FK Liepaja, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.3 goals in total.
When is Riga vs FK Liepaja?
Riga vs FK Liepaja (Virsliga) kicks off on Sunday 21 June 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Skonto stadions.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
