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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Super Nova v FS Jelgava: numbers & prediction

Virsliga · Latvia · Jana Skredela stadions
1–5
FT
Super Nova 35%Draw 26%FS Jelgava 39% Expected goals 1.25 – 1.28
74%
Betarazi pick

Under 3.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.36 · bookmaker 1.28 · Lost ✗

8/10Rating
1.28Odds

Picks by market

ResultFS Jelgava to win ✓39% · @2.40
Double chanceEither team to win ✓74% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓60% · @1.70
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗74% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 12.26

Super Nova vs FS Jelgava: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Thursday 25 June the Virsliga brings Super Nova against FS Jelgava at Jana Skredela stadions. Kick-off: 18:00 WAT. In the table, Super Nova are 6th, lower half, on 40 points after 36 matches; FS Jelgava are 7th (lower half) with 35.

Current form

Super Nova, last 5: LDLLL Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Auda, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.

FS Jelgava, last 5: WLDDD Their latest outing: 4–1 win over Tukums, at home. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.

Head to head

When they last met (6 May 2026) it ended FS Jelgava 1–0 Super Nova. The last 2 head-to-heads: Super Nova 0 wins, FS Jelgava 1, draws 1. Those games averaged 1.5 goals and saw GG land 1 time.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Super Nova 1.2 xG, FS Jelgava 1.3 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 47%, GG 60%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Super Nova 35%, draw 26%, FS Jelgava 39%.
  • GG/NG: GG (60%) at 1.70.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (74%, odds 1.28). Most likely score in line with that pick: Super Nova 1–1 FS Jelgava. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Super Nova35%fair 2.90 · @2.65
Draw26%fair 3.80 · @3.25
FS Jelgava39%fair 2.55 · @2.40
2.53Expected goals
1.25Super Nova xG
1.28FS Jelgava xG
60%Both score
47%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–113%
0–110%
1–010%
1–28%
0–08%
2–18%

From our goals model: Super Nova 1.2 – 1.3 FS Jelgava expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultFS Jelgava to win ✓39%2.552.40
Double chanceEither team to win ✓74%1.361.25
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓60%1.681.70
Draw no betFS Jelgava (draw no bet) ✓53%1.88–
Asian handicapSuper Nova +0.5 (Asian handicap) ✗63%1.59–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓72%1.401.30
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗53%1.901.80
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗74%1.361.28
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✗89%1.13–
First team to scoreFS Jelgava to score first47%2.15–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗44%2.28–
Half-time / full-timeHT FS Jelgava / FT FS Jelgava ✓21%4.67–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8%12.26–

Recent results

Super Nova – last 6

LDLLLW
21 Junvs Auda0–2L
16 Jun@ BFC Daugavpils0–0D
12 Jun@ FK Liepaja1–2L
29 Mayvs Rīgas FS1–2L
24 May@ Riga0–3L
20 May@ Grobiņa2–0W
0.7Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

FS Jelgava – last 6

WLDDDL
21 Junvs Tukums4–1W
17 Junvs Ogre United0–2L
13 Jun@ Auda1–1D
31 Mayvs BFC Daugavpils1–1D
26 Mayvs FK Liepaja1–1D
21 May@ Rīgas FS0–4L
1.2Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

6 May 2026FS Jelgava v Super Nova1–0
15 Mar 2026Super Nova v FS Jelgava1–1
Super Nova vs FS Jelgava head-to-head page →

Virsliga table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Rīgas FS352852+6389
2Riga352582+6283
3Auda362277+2473
4BFC Daugavpils36141012+552
5FK Liepaja3614913+151
6Super Nova3611718-1840
7FS Jelgava369819-2035
8Grobiņa3661119-3829
9Tukums3651021-2425
10Ogre United364725-5519

More Virsliga predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Super Nova vs FS Jelgava?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.

Who will win Super Nova vs FS Jelgava?

On our numbers Super Nova have a 35% chance of winning, the draw 26% and FS Jelgava 39%.

How many goals will there be in Super Nova vs FS Jelgava?

We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Super Nova vs FS Jelgava?

Our predicted score is Super Nova 1–1 FS Jelgava, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.

When is Super Nova vs FS Jelgava?

Super Nova vs FS Jelgava (Virsliga) kicks off on Thursday 25 June 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time) at Jana Skredela stadions.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.