Ogre United 28%Draw 22%Tukums 50%Expected goals 1.36 – 1.69
79%
Betarazi pick
Over 1.5 goals
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.27 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.22Odds
Picks by market
ResultTukums to win ✗50% · @1.85
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓61% · @1.60
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 10.89
Ogre United vs Tukums: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
16:00 WAT, Friday 26 June: Ogre United v Tukums in the Virsliga. In the table, Ogre United are 10th, in the drop zone, on 19 points after 36 matches; Tukums are 9th (in the drop zone) with 25.
Current form
Ogre United, last 5: LWLLD Their latest outing: 0–6 defeat to Rīgas FS, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Tukums, last 5: LWDLL Their latest outing: 1–4 defeat to FS Jelgava, away. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 2.5 conceded per game.
Head to head
When they last met (7 May 2026) it ended Tukums 6–1 Ogre United. The last 2 head-to-heads: Ogre United 0 wins, Tukums 1, draws 1. Those games averaged 4.5 goals and saw GG land 2 times.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Ogre United 1.4 xG, Tukums 1.7 xG – a total near 3.1. That is an open game on paper: 57% for three or more goals, 61% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Ogre United 28%, draw 22%, Tukums 50%.
GG/NG: GG (61%) at 1.60.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (79%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Ogre United 1–1 Tukums. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Ogre United28%fair 3.56 · @3.50
Draw22%fair 4.55 · @3.55
Tukums50%fair 2.00 · @1.85
3.05Expected goals
1.36Ogre United xG
1.69Tukums xG
61%Both score
57%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–111%
1–29%
0–18%
2–17%
0–27%
1–06%
From our goals model: Ogre United 1.4 – 1.7 Tukums expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 79% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Ogre United vs Tukums?
On our numbers Ogre United have a 28% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Tukums 50%.
How many goals will there be in Ogre United vs Tukums?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 57% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Ogre United vs Tukums?
Our predicted score is Ogre United 1–1 Tukums, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is Ogre United vs Tukums?
Ogre United vs Tukums (Virsliga) kicks off on Friday 26 June 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
