FK Liepaja 17%Draw 21%Rīgas FS 62%Expected goals 0.99 – 2.00
63%
Betarazi pick
Under 3.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.59 · bookmaker 1.53 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.53Odds
Picks by market
ResultRīgas FS to win ✓62% · @1.44
Double chanceRīgas FS or draw ✓83% · @1.07
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗57% · @1.67
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓80% · @1.17
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.04
FK Liepaja vs Rīgas FS: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Friday 26 June the Virsliga brings FK Liepaja against Rīgas FS at Daugavas stadions. Kick-off: 17:00 WAT. In the table, FK Liepaja are 5th, upper half, on 51 points after 36 matches; Rīgas FS are 1st (leading the league) with 89. There are 38 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
FK Liepaja, last 5: LLWWD Their latest outing: 0–4 defeat to Riga, away. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.
Rīgas FS, last 5: WLWWW Their latest outing: 6–0 win over Ogre United, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. 3.2 goals per outing makes them dangerous.
Momentum favours Rīgas FS, collecting 2.5 points per game to 1.2 for FK Liepaja.
Head to head
When they last met (8 May 2026) it ended Rīgas FS 5–0 FK Liepaja. The last 2 head-to-heads: FK Liepaja 0 wins, Rīgas FS 2, draws 0. Those games averaged 3.0 goals.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give FK Liepaja 1.0 xG, Rīgas FS 2.0 xG – a total near 3.0. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 59% and GG at 57%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – FK Liepaja 17%, draw 21%, Rīgas FS 62%.
GG/NG: GG (57%) at 1.67.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (63%, odds 1.53). Most likely score in line with that pick: FK Liepaja 0–1 Rīgas FS. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
FK Liepaja17%fair 5.94 · @5.75
Draw21%fair 4.67 · @4.40
Rīgas FS62%fair 1.62 · @1.44
2.99Expected goals
0.99FK Liepaja xG
2.00Rīgas FS xG
57%Both score
59%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–110%
0–210%
1–110%
1–210%
0–37%
1–37%
From our goals model: FK Liepaja 1.0 – 2.0 Rīgas FS expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for FK Liepaja vs Rīgas FS?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.53.
Who will win FK Liepaja vs Rīgas FS?
On our numbers FK Liepaja have a 17% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Rīgas FS 62%.
How many goals will there be in FK Liepaja vs Rīgas FS?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 59% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for FK Liepaja vs Rīgas FS?
Our predicted score is FK Liepaja 0–1 Rīgas FS, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is FK Liepaja vs Rīgas FS?
FK Liepaja vs Rīgas FS (Virsliga) kicks off on Friday 26 June 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Daugavas stadions.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
