Rīgas FS 70%Draw 20%BFC Daugavpils 10%Expected goals 2.05 – 0.76
62%
Betarazi pick
Under 3.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.62 · bookmaker 1.70 · Lost ✗
5/10Rating
1.70Odds
Picks by market
ResultRīgas FS to win ✓70% · @1.18
Double chanceRīgas FS or draw ✓90% · @1.01
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓52% · @1.93
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓77% · fair 1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.40
Rīgas FS vs BFC Daugavpils: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Rīgas FS welcome BFC Daugavpils to LNK Sporta Parks for a Virsliga fixture on Tuesday 30 June (16:00 WAT). In the table, Rīgas FS are 1st, leading the league, on 89 points after 35 matches; BFC Daugavpils are 4th (among the top four) with 52. There are 37 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Rīgas FS, last 5: WWLWW Their latest outing: 2–0 win over FK Liepaja, away. 2.8 goals per outing makes them dangerous.
BFC Daugavpils, last 5: DWDDD Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Riga, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Rīgas FS, collecting 2.5 points per game to 1.2 for BFC Daugavpils.
Head to head
When they last met (13 May 2026) it ended BFC Daugavpils 0–1 Rīgas FS.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Rīgas FS 2.0 xG, BFC Daugavpils 0.8 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 59%, GG 52%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Rīgas FS 70%, draw 20%, BFC Daugavpils 10%.
GG/NG: GG (52%) at 1.93.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (62%, odds 1.70 – longer than our fair 1.62, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Rīgas FS 2–0 BFC Daugavpils. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Rīgas FS70%fair 1.43 · @1.18
Draw20%fair 5.08 · @5.75
BFC Daugavpils10%fair 9.73 · @13.00
2.81Expected goals
2.05Rīgas FS xG
0.76BFC Daugavpils xG
52%Both score
59%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–013%
1–012%
2–110%
1–19%
3–09%
3–17%
From our goals model: Rīgas FS 2.0 – 0.8 BFC Daugavpils expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Rīgas FS vs BFC Daugavpils?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 62% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.70.
Who will win Rīgas FS vs BFC Daugavpils?
On our numbers Rīgas FS have a 70% chance of winning, the draw 20% and BFC Daugavpils 10%.
How many goals will there be in Rīgas FS vs BFC Daugavpils?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 59% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Rīgas FS vs BFC Daugavpils?
Our predicted score is Rīgas FS 2–0 BFC Daugavpils, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Rīgas FS vs BFC Daugavpils?
Rīgas FS vs BFC Daugavpils (Virsliga) kicks off on Tuesday 30 June 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at LNK Sporta Parks.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
