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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

FK Liepaja v Ogre United: numbers & prediction

Virsliga · Latvia · Daugavas stadions
4–0
FT
FK Liepaja 69%Draw 18%Ogre United 13% Expected goals 2.33 – 0.92
69%
Betarazi pick

FK Liepaja to win

Strong pick · fair odds 1.45 · bookmaker 1.28 · Won ✓

7/10Rating
1.28Odds

Picks by market

ResultFK Liepaja to win ✓69% · @1.28
Double chanceFK Liepaja or draw ✓87% · fair 1.15
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗60% · @1.73
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓83% · fair 1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.33

FK Liepaja vs Ogre United: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Ogre United travel to face FK Liepaja on Tuesday 30 June in the Virsliga, with Daugavas stadions the venue – the ball rolls at 17:00 WAT. In the table, FK Liepaja are 5th, upper half, on 51 points after 36 matches; Ogre United are 10th (in the drop zone) with 19. There are 32 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

FK Liepaja, last 5: LLLWW Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Rīgas FS, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.

Ogre United, last 5: WLWLL Their latest outing: 3–2 win over Tukums, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 2.5 conceded per game.

Head to head

When they last met (12 May 2026) it ended FK Liepaja 4–1 Ogre United. The last 2 head-to-heads: FK Liepaja 2 wins, Ogre United 0, draws 0. Those games averaged 3.0 goals and saw GG land 1 time.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give FK Liepaja 2.3 xG, Ogre United 0.9 xG – a total near 3.2. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 63% and GG at 60%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – FK Liepaja 69%, draw 18%, Ogre United 13%.
  • GG/NG: GG (60%) at 1.73.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was FK Liepaja to win (69%, odds 1.28). Most likely score in line with that pick: FK Liepaja 2–0 Ogre United. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

FK Liepaja69%fair 1.45 · @1.28
Draw18%fair 5.59 · @5.00
Ogre United13%fair 7.69 · @8.80
3.25Expected goals
2.33FK Liepaja xG
0.92Ogre United xG
60%Both score
63%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

2–011%
2–110%
1–09%
1–18%
3–08%
3–18%

From our goals model: FK Liepaja 2.3 – 0.9 Ogre United expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultFK Liepaja to win ✓69%1.451.28
Double chanceFK Liepaja or draw ✓87%1.15–
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗60%1.671.73
Draw no betFK Liepaja (draw no bet) ✓84%1.19–
Asian handicapFK Liepaja -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓69%1.45–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓83%1.20–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓63%1.581.45
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗58%1.731.65
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓76%1.321.25
First team to scoreFK Liepaja to score first ✓69%1.45–
Half-time resultFK Liepaja ahead at half-time ✓51%1.97–
Half-time / full-timeHT FK Liepaja / FT FK Liepaja ✓46%2.18–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10%10.33–

Recent results

FK Liepaja – last 6

LLLWWD
26 Junvs Rīgas FS0–2L
21 Jun@ Riga0–4L
16 Jun@ Grobiņa0–1L
12 Junvs Super Nova2–1W
30 Mayvs Tukums3–0W
26 May@ FS Jelgava1–1D
1.0Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Ogre United – last 6

WLWLLD
26 Junvs Tukums3–2W
22 Jun@ Rīgas FS0–6L
17 Jun@ FS Jelgava2–0W
13 Junvs Riga1–4L
30 May@ Auda0–2L
25 Mayvs Grobiņa1–1D
1.2Scored / game
2.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

12 May 2026FK Liepaja v Ogre United4–1
20 Mar 2026Ogre United v FK Liepaja0–1
FK Liepaja vs Ogre United head-to-head page →

Virsliga table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Rīgas FS352852+6389
2Riga352582+6283
3Auda362277+2473
4BFC Daugavpils36141012+552
5FK Liepaja3614913+151
6Super Nova3611718-1840
7FS Jelgava369819-2035
8Grobiņa3661119-3829
9Tukums3651021-2425
10Ogre United364725-5519

More Virsliga predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for FK Liepaja vs Ogre United?

Our pick is FK Liepaja to win with a 69% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.

Who will win FK Liepaja vs Ogre United?

On our numbers FK Liepaja have a 69% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Ogre United 13%.

How many goals will there be in FK Liepaja vs Ogre United?

We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 63% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for FK Liepaja vs Ogre United?

Our predicted score is FK Liepaja 2–0 Ogre United, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.

When is FK Liepaja vs Ogre United?

FK Liepaja vs Ogre United (Virsliga) kicks off on Tuesday 30 June 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Daugavas stadions.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.