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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

FS Jelgava v Rīgas FS: numbers & prediction

Virsliga · Latvia · Zemgales Olimpiskais centrs
0–1
FT
FS Jelgava 11%Draw 20%Rīgas FS 68% Expected goals 0.86 – 2.19
68%
Betarazi pick

Rīgas FS to win

Strong pick · fair odds 1.46 · bookmaker 1.30 · Won ✓

7/10Rating
1.30Odds

Picks by market

ResultRīgas FS to win ✓68% · @1.30
Double chanceRīgas FS or draw ✓89% · @1.02
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗55% · @1.77
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗81% · fair 1.24
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.24

FS Jelgava vs Rīgas FS: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

16:00 WAT, Monday 20 July: FS Jelgava v Rīgas FS in the Virsliga, played at Zemgales Olimpiskais centrs. In the table, FS Jelgava are 7th, lower half, on 35 points after 36 matches; Rīgas FS are 1st (leading the league) with 89. There are 54 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

FS Jelgava, last 5: LLWWW Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Rīgas FS, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.

Rīgas FS, last 5: WWWDW Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Glentoran, at home. The attack is flying at 2.0 goals per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Momentum favours Rīgas FS, collecting 2.7 points per game to 1.5 for FS Jelgava.

Head to head

When they last met (12 Jul 2026) it ended Rīgas FS 2–0 FS Jelgava. The last 3 head-to-heads: FS Jelgava 0 wins, Rīgas FS 3, draws 0. Those games averaged 2.3 goals.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give FS Jelgava 0.9 xG, Rīgas FS 2.2 xG – a total near 3.0. That is an open game on paper: 60% for three or more goals, 55% for GG.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – FS Jelgava 11%, draw 20%, Rīgas FS 68%.
  • GG/NG: GG (55%) at 1.77.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Rīgas FS to win (68%, odds 1.30). Most likely score in line with that pick: FS Jelgava 0–2 Rīgas FS. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

FS Jelgava11%fair 8.86 · @8.25
Draw20%fair 4.91 · @4.60
Rīgas FS68%fair 1.46 · @1.30
3.05Expected goals
0.86FS Jelgava xG
2.19Rīgas FS xG
55%Both score
60%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

0–211%
0–110%
1–210%
1–19%
0–38%
1–37%

From our goals model: FS Jelgava 0.9 – 2.2 Rīgas FS expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultRīgas FS to win ✓68%1.461.30
Double chanceRīgas FS or draw ✓89%1.131.02
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗55%1.831.77
Draw no betRīgas FS (draw no bet) ✓86%1.17–
Asian handicapRīgas FS -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓68%1.48–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗81%1.24–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗60%1.681.53
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓62%1.611.55
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓79%1.271.22
First team to scoreRīgas FS to score first ✓68%1.46–
Half-time resultRīgas FS ahead at half-time ✓49%2.03–
Half-time / full-timeHT Rīgas FS / FT Rīgas FS ✓44%2.26–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10%10.24–

Recent results

FS Jelgava – last 6

LLWWWL
12 Jul@ Rīgas FS0–2L
3 Jul@ Riga0–3L
29 Junvs Grobiņa2–0W
25 Jun@ Super Nova5–1W
21 Junvs Tukums4–1W
17 Junvs Ogre United0–2L
1.8Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Rīgas FS – last 6

WWWDWW
16 Julvs Glentoran2–0W
12 Julvs FS Jelgava2–0W
9 Jul@ Glentoran2–1W
4 Julvs Auda1–1D
30 Junvs BFC Daugavpils3–1W
26 Jun@ FK Liepaja2–0W
2.0Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

12 Jul 2026Rīgas FS v FS Jelgava2–0
21 May 2026Rīgas FS v FS Jelgava4–0
8 Apr 2026FS Jelgava v Rīgas FS0–1
FS Jelgava vs Rīgas FS head-to-head page →

Virsliga table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Rīgas FS352852+6389
2Riga352582+6283
3Auda362277+2473
4BFC Daugavpils36141012+552
5FK Liepaja3614913+151
6Super Nova3611718-1840
7FS Jelgava369819-2035
8Grobiņa3661119-3829
9Tukums3651021-2425
10Ogre United364725-5519

More Virsliga predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for FS Jelgava vs Rīgas FS?

Our pick is Rīgas FS to win with a 68% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.

Who will win FS Jelgava vs Rīgas FS?

On our numbers FS Jelgava have a 11% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Rīgas FS 68%.

How many goals will there be in FS Jelgava vs Rīgas FS?

We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 60% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for FS Jelgava vs Rīgas FS?

Our predicted score is FS Jelgava 0–2 Rīgas FS, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.

When is FS Jelgava vs Rīgas FS?

FS Jelgava vs Rīgas FS (Virsliga) kicks off on Monday 20 July 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Zemgales Olimpiskais centrs.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.