Super Nova vs Grobiņa: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Super Nova welcome Grobiņa to Jana Skredela stadions for a Virsliga fixture on Monday 20 July (17:00 WAT). In the table, Super Nova are 6th, lower half, on 40 points after 36 matches; Grobiņa are 8th (in the drop zone) with 29.
Current form
Super Nova, last 5: WLWLL Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Tukums, away. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.
Grobiņa, last 5: WWLWL Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Mārupe, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 0.7 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Grobiņa, collecting 2.0 points per game to 1.2 for Super Nova.
Head to head
When they last met (20 May 2026) it ended Grobiņa 0–2 Super Nova. The last 2 head-to-heads: Super Nova 2 wins, Grobiņa 0, draws 0. Those games averaged 1.5 goals.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Super Nova 1.4 xG, Grobiņa 1.1 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 45%, GG 56%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Super Nova 41%, draw 26%, Grobiņa 32%.
GG/NG: GG (56%) at 1.80.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (76%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Super Nova 1–1 Grobiņa. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Super Nova41%fair 2.41 · @2.55
Draw26%fair 3.80 · @3.20
Grobiņa32%fair 3.11 · @2.55
2.43Expected goals
1.38Super Nova xG
1.05Grobiņa xG
56%Both score
45%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
1–012%
0–19%
0–09%
2–19%
2–08%
From our goals model: Super Nova 1.4 – 1.1 Grobiņa expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Super Nova vs Grobiņa?
On our numbers Super Nova have a 41% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Grobiņa 32%.
How many goals will there be in Super Nova vs Grobiņa?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Super Nova vs Grobiņa?
Our predicted score is Super Nova 1–1 Grobiņa, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Super Nova vs Grobiņa?
Super Nova vs Grobiņa (Virsliga) kicks off on Monday 20 July 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Jana Skredela stadions.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
