FS Jelgava vs FK Liepaja: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Sunday 26 July the Virsliga brings FS Jelgava against FK Liepaja at Zemgales Olimpiskais centrs. Kick-off: 16:30 WAT. In the table, FS Jelgava are 7th, lower half, on 35 points after 36 matches; FK Liepaja are 5th (upper half) with 51. There are 16 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
FS Jelgava, last 5: LLLWW Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Rīgas FS, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
FK Liepaja, last 5: LWLWL Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Austria Vienna, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
Head to head
When they last met (26 May 2026) it ended FS Jelgava 1–1 FK Liepaja. The last 2 head-to-heads: FS Jelgava 0 wins, FK Liepaja 1, draws 1. Those games averaged 2.5 goals and saw GG land 2 times.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give FS Jelgava 1.4 xG, FK Liepaja 1.4 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 54%, GG 61%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – FS Jelgava 40%, draw 24%, FK Liepaja 35%.
GG/NG: GG (61%) at 1.57.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (77%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: FS Jelgava 1–1 FK Liepaja. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
FS Jelgava40%fair 2.48 · @2.10
Draw24%fair 4.11 · @3.50
FK Liepaja35%fair 2.83 · @2.90
2.82Expected goals
1.44FS Jelgava xG
1.39FK Liepaja xG
61%Both score
54%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
1–09%
2–19%
0–18%
1–28%
2–06%
From our goals model: FS Jelgava 1.4 – 1.4 FK Liepaja expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for FS Jelgava vs FK Liepaja?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win FS Jelgava vs FK Liepaja?
On our numbers FS Jelgava have a 40% chance of winning, the draw 24% and FK Liepaja 35%.
How many goals will there be in FS Jelgava vs FK Liepaja?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for FS Jelgava vs FK Liepaja?
Our predicted score is FS Jelgava 1–1 FK Liepaja, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is FS Jelgava vs FK Liepaja?
FS Jelgava vs FK Liepaja (Virsliga) kicks off on Sunday 26 July 2026 at 16:30 (West Africa Time) at Zemgales Olimpiskais centrs.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
