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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Auda v BFC Daugavpils: numbers & prediction

Virsliga · Latvia · Skonto stadions

Auda

WWDLL
1–0
FT
Auda 52%Draw 22%BFC Daugavpils 26% Expected goals 1.57 – 1.10
76%
Betarazi pick

Over 1.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.31 · bookmaker 1.20 · Lost ✗

8/10Rating
1.20Odds

Picks by market

ResultAuda to win ✓52% · @1.80
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗62% · @1.57
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗76% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.64

Auda vs BFC Daugavpils: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Sunday 26 July the Virsliga brings Auda against BFC Daugavpils at Skonto stadions. Kick-off: 17:00 WAT. In the table, Auda are 3rd, among the top four, on 73 points after 36 matches; BFC Daugavpils are 4th (among the top four) with 52. There are 21 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Auda, last 5: WWDLL Their latest outing: 3–2 win over FCSB, away. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.

BFC Daugavpils, last 5: WDWLD Their latest outing: 4–0 win over Ogre United, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. 2.0 goals per outing makes them dangerous. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Head to head

When they last met (26 May 2026) it ended BFC Daugavpils 0–1 Auda. The last 2 head-to-heads: Auda 1 win, BFC Daugavpils 1, draws 0. Those games averaged 3.0 goals and saw GG land 1 time.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Auda 1.6 xG, BFC Daugavpils 1.1 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 53%, GG 62%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Auda 52%, draw 22%, BFC Daugavpils 26%.
  • GG/NG: GG (62%) at 1.57.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (76%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Auda 1–1 BFC Daugavpils. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Auda52%fair 1.92 · @1.80
Draw22%fair 4.46 · @3.70
BFC Daugavpils26%fair 3.91 · @3.65
2.67Expected goals
1.57Auda xG
1.10BFC Daugavpils xG
62%Both score
53%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–112%
1–011%
2–19%
2–09%
0–18%
0–07%

From our goals model: Auda 1.6 – 1.1 BFC Daugavpils expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultAuda to win ✓52%1.921.80
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78%1.291.18
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗62%1.621.57
Draw no betAuda (draw no bet) ✓67%1.49–
Asian handicapBFC Daugavpils +1 (Asian handicap)67%1.48–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗76%1.311.20
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗53%1.881.65
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓68%1.471.45
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓87%1.15–
First team to scoreAuda to score first ✓55%1.82–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗42%2.37–
Half-time / full-timeHT Auda / FT Auda ✓29%3.44–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9%10.64–

Recent results

Auda – last 6

WWDLLW
23 Jul@ FCSB3–2W
11 Julvs FK Liepaja1–0W
4 Jul@ Rīgas FS1–1D
29 Junvs Riga0–2L
25 Jun@ Grobiņa0–1L
21 Jun@ Super Nova2–0W
1.2Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5

BFC Daugavpils – last 6

WDWLDW
19 Jul@ Ogre United4–0W
11 Jul@ Riga Mariners3–3D
4 Julvs FK Liepaja3–1W
30 Jun@ Rīgas FS1–3L
25 Junvs Riga0–0D
20 Junvs Grobiņa1–0W
2.0Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

26 May 2026BFC Daugavpils v Auda0–1
12 Apr 2026Auda v BFC Daugavpils2–3
Auda vs BFC Daugavpils head-to-head page →

Virsliga table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Rīgas FS352852+6389
2Riga352582+6283
3Auda362277+2473
4BFC Daugavpils36141012+552
5FK Liepaja3614913+151
6Super Nova3611718-1840
7FS Jelgava369819-2035
8Grobiņa3661119-3829
9Tukums3651021-2425
10Ogre United364725-5519

More Virsliga predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Auda vs BFC Daugavpils?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.

Who will win Auda vs BFC Daugavpils?

On our numbers Auda have a 52% chance of winning, the draw 22% and BFC Daugavpils 26%.

How many goals will there be in Auda vs BFC Daugavpils?

We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Auda vs BFC Daugavpils?

Our predicted score is Auda 1–1 BFC Daugavpils, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.

When is Auda vs BFC Daugavpils?

Auda vs BFC Daugavpils (Virsliga) kicks off on Sunday 26 July 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Skonto stadions.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.