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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Riga v Grobiņa: numbers & prediction

Virsliga · Latvia · Skonto stadions

Riga

LWWWW
4–0
FT
Riga 81%Draw 13%Grobiņa 6% Expected goals 2.79 – 0.65
68%
Betarazi pick

Over 2.5 goals

Good pick · fair odds 1.47 · bookmaker 1.35 · Won ✓

7/10Rating
1.35Odds

Picks by market

ResultRiga to win ✓81% · @1.11
Double chanceRiga or draw ✓94% · fair 1.07
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓54% · fair 1.85
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓68% · @1.35
Correct scoreCorrect score 3–0 ✗12% · fair 8.61

Riga vs Grobiņa: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Grobiņa travel to face Riga on Sunday 2 August in the Virsliga, with Skonto stadions the venue – the ball rolls at 16:00 WAT. In the table, Riga are 2nd, among the top four, on 83 points after 35 matches; Grobiņa are 8th (in the drop zone) with 29. There are 54 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Riga, last 5: LWWWW Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Vardar Skopje, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. 2.2 goals per outing makes them dangerous.

Grobiņa, last 5: DLWWL Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Ogre United, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.

Head to head

When they last met (18 Apr 2026) it ended Grobiņa 0–3 Riga.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Riga 2.8 xG, Grobiņa 0.6 xG – a total near 3.4. That is an open game on paper: 68% for three or more goals, 46% for GG.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Riga 81%, draw 13%, Grobiņa 6%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (68%, odds 1.35). Most likely score in line with that pick: Riga 3–0 Grobiņa. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Riga81%fair 1.24 · @1.11
Draw13%fair 7.78 · @7.00
Grobiņa6%fair 16.05 · @17.00
3.43Expected goals
2.79Riga xG
0.65Grobiņa xG
46%Both score
68%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

2–013%
3–012%
1–09%
2–18%
4–08%
3–18%

From our goals model: Riga 2.8 – 0.6 Grobiņa expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultRiga to win ✓81%1.241.11
Double chanceRiga or draw ✓94%1.07–
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✓54%1.85–
Draw no betRiga (draw no bet) ✓93%1.08–
Asian handicapRiga -1.5 (Asian handicap) ✓62%1.62–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓86%1.17–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓68%1.471.35
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗53%1.901.85
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓71%1.411.36
First team to scoreRiga to score first ✓78%1.27–
Half-time resultRiga ahead at half-time ✗61%1.64–
Half-time / full-timeHT Riga / FT Riga ✗58%1.73–
Correct scoreCorrect score 3–0 ✗12%8.61–

Recent results

Riga – last 6

LWWWWL
28 Julvs Vardar Skopje1–2L
22 Jul@ Vardar Skopje3–2W
18 Julvs Tukums3–1W
14 Julvs Ararat-Armenia3–2W
10 Jul@ Leevon PPK3–2W
7 Jul@ Ararat-Armenia0–2L
2.2Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Grobiņa – last 6

DLWWLW
27 Julvs Ogre United2–2D
20 Jul@ Super Nova0–2L
12 Jul@ Mārupe1–0W
5 Julvs Tukums3–1W
29 Jun@ FS Jelgava0–2L
25 Junvs Auda1–0W
1.2Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

18 Apr 2026Grobiņa v Riga0–3
Riga vs Grobiņa head-to-head page →

Virsliga table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Rīgas FS352852+6389
2Riga352582+6283
3Auda362277+2473
4BFC Daugavpils36141012+552
5FK Liepaja3614913+151
6Super Nova3611718-1840
7FS Jelgava369819-2035
8Grobiņa3661119-3829
9Tukums3651021-2425
10Ogre United364725-5519

More Virsliga predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Riga vs Grobiņa?

Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 68% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.35.

Who will win Riga vs Grobiņa?

On our numbers Riga have a 81% chance of winning, the draw 13% and Grobiņa 6%.

How many goals will there be in Riga vs Grobiņa?

We expect about 3.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 68% likely and both teams score 46% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Riga vs Grobiņa?

Our predicted score is Riga 3–0 Grobiņa, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.4 goals in total.

When is Riga vs Grobiņa?

Riga vs Grobiņa (Virsliga) kicks off on Sunday 2 August 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Skonto stadions.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.