Good pick · fair odds 1.57 · bookmaker 1.45 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.45Odds
Picks by market
ResultAuda to win ✓62% · @1.64
Double chanceAuda or draw ✓84% · @1.15
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗59% · @1.60
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓80% · @1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.06
Auda vs Tukums: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Auda welcome Tukums to Skonto stadions for a Virsliga fixture on Friday 21 August (16:00 WAT). In the table, Auda are 3rd, among the top four, on 73 points after 36 matches; Tukums are 9th (in the drop zone) with 25. There are 48 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Auda, last 5: DLWWW Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Grobiņa, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.2 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Tukums, last 5: LWLLL Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to BFC Daugavpils, away. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Momentum favours Auda, collecting 2.2 points per game to 0.5 for Tukums.
Head to head
When they last met (17 Jun 2026) it ended Tukums 2–1 Auda. The last 2 head-to-heads: Auda 1 win, Tukums 1, draws 0. Those games averaged 3.0 goals and saw GG land 2 times.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Auda 2.1 xG, Tukums 1.0 xG – a total near 3.1. That is an open game on paper: 58% for three or more goals, 59% for GG.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Auda 62%, draw 22%, Tukums 16%.
Lower-risk option: Auda or draw (84%) at 1.15.
GG/NG: GG (59%) at 1.60.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (64%, odds 1.45). Most likely score in line with that pick: Auda 2–0 Tukums. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Auda62%fair 1.62 · @1.64
Draw22%fair 4.47 · @4.00
Tukums16%fair 6.33 · @4.20
3.06Expected goals
2.08Auda xG
0.98Tukums xG
59%Both score
58%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–010%
2–110%
1–010%
1–110%
3–07%
3–17%
From our goals model: Auda 2.1 – 1.0 Tukums expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.45.
Who will win Auda vs Tukums?
On our numbers Auda have a 62% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Tukums 16%.
How many goals will there be in Auda vs Tukums?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Auda vs Tukums?
Our predicted score is Auda 2–0 Tukums, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is Auda vs Tukums?
Auda vs Tukums (Virsliga) kicks off on Friday 21 August 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Skonto stadions.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
