FK Liepaja vs Grobiņa: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Grobiņa travel to face FK Liepaja on Friday 21 August in the Virsliga, with Daugavas stadions the venue – the ball rolls at 16:00 WAT. In the table, FK Liepaja are 5th, upper half, on 51 points after 36 matches; Grobiņa are 8th (in the drop zone) with 29. There are 22 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
FK Liepaja, last 5: WLLWL Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Super Nova, away. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.
Grobiņa, last 5: DLLDL Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Auda, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 3 lost from 5. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 2.7 conceded per game.
Momentum favours FK Liepaja, collecting 1.5 points per game to 0.8 for Grobiņa.
Head to head
When they last met (16 Jun 2026) it ended Grobiņa 1–0 FK Liepaja. The last 2 head-to-heads: FK Liepaja 0 wins, Grobiņa 1, draws 1. Those games averaged 1.5 goals and saw GG land 1 time.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give FK Liepaja 2.0 xG, Grobiņa 0.9 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 56%, GG 56%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – FK Liepaja 63%, draw 21%, Grobiņa 16%.
GG/NG: GG (56%) at 1.57.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (78%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: FK Liepaja 2–0 Grobiņa. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
FK Liepaja63%fair 1.58 · @1.60
Draw21%fair 4.85 · @3.80
Grobiņa16%fair 6.25 · @4.60
2.82Expected goals
1.96FK Liepaja xG
0.86Grobiņa xG
56%Both score
56%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–012%
2–011%
1–110%
2–110%
3–07%
3–16%
From our goals model: FK Liepaja 2.0 – 0.9 Grobiņa expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win FK Liepaja vs Grobiņa?
On our numbers FK Liepaja have a 63% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Grobiņa 16%.
How many goals will there be in FK Liepaja vs Grobiņa?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for FK Liepaja vs Grobiņa?
Our predicted score is FK Liepaja 2–0 Grobiņa, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is FK Liepaja vs Grobiņa?
FK Liepaja vs Grobiņa (Virsliga) kicks off on Friday 21 August 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Daugavas stadions.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
