Value bet: BFC Daugavpils to win @ 2.20 – our chance 49% vs 45% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultBFC Daugavpils to win ✗49% · @2.20
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.29
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗57% · @1.67
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓77% · fair 1.31
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.07
Grobiņa vs BFC Daugavpils: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Grobiņa welcome BFC Daugavpils for a Virsliga fixture on Saturday 29 August (13:00 WAT). In the table, Grobiņa are 8th, in the drop zone, on 29 points after 36 matches; BFC Daugavpils are 4th (among the top four) with 52. There are 23 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Grobiņa, last 5: LDLLD Their latest outing: 1–3 defeat to FK Liepaja, away. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 3.2 conceded per game.
BFC Daugavpils, last 5: DWWWL Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Super Nova, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 0.5 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours BFC Daugavpils, collecting 2.2 points per game to 0.3 for Grobiņa.
Head to head
When they last met (20 Jun 2026) it ended BFC Daugavpils 1–0 Grobiņa. The last 3 head-to-heads: Grobiņa 1 win, BFC Daugavpils 1, draws 1. Those games averaged 1.3 goals and saw GG land 1 time.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Grobiņa 1.0 xG, BFC Daugavpils 1.4 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 45%, GG 57%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Grobiņa 29%, draw 22%, BFC Daugavpils 49%.
GG/NG: GG (57%) at 1.67.
Price worth noting: BFC Daugavpils to win @2.20 – the bookmaker implies 45%, our ratings say 49%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (57%, odds 1.67). Most likely score in line with that pick: Grobiņa 1–1 BFC Daugavpils. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Grobiņa29%fair 3.42 · @2.80
Draw22%fair 4.60 · @3.25
BFC Daugavpils49%fair 2.04 · @2.20
2.46Expected goals
1.02Grobiņa xG
1.44BFC Daugavpils xG
57%Both score
45%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
0–112%
1–29%
0–29%
1–09%
0–09%
From our goals model: Grobiņa 1.0 – 1.4 BFC Daugavpils expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Grobiņa vs BFC Daugavpils?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 57% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.67.
Who will win Grobiņa vs BFC Daugavpils?
On our numbers Grobiņa have a 29% chance of winning, the draw 22% and BFC Daugavpils 49%.
How many goals will there be in Grobiņa vs BFC Daugavpils?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Grobiņa vs BFC Daugavpils?
Our predicted score is Grobiņa 1–1 BFC Daugavpils, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Grobiņa vs BFC Daugavpils?
Grobiņa vs BFC Daugavpils (Virsliga) kicks off on Saturday 29 August 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
