Good pick · fair odds 1.55 · bookmaker 1.60 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.60Odds
Picks by market
ResultFS Jelgava to win ✓41% · @2.40
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓65% · @1.60
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓82% · fair 1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.62
Tukums vs FS Jelgava: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
FS Jelgava travel to face Tukums on Saturday 29 August in the Virsliga – the ball rolls at 15:00 WAT. In the table, Tukums are 9th, in the drop zone, on 25 points after 36 matches; FS Jelgava are 7th (lower half) with 35.
Current form
Tukums, last 5: LLWLL Their latest outing: 0–3 defeat to Auda, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.
FS Jelgava, last 5: WLLLL Their latest outing: 3–2 win over Ogre United, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.
Head to head
When they last met (21 Jun 2026) it ended FS Jelgava 4–1 Tukums. The last 3 head-to-heads: Tukums 1 win, FS Jelgava 2, draws 0. Those games averaged 4.3 goals and saw GG land 2 times.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Tukums 1.5 xG, FS Jelgava 1.6 xG – a total near 3.1. That is an open game on paper: 60% for three or more goals, 65% for GG.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Tukums 37%, draw 23%, FS Jelgava 41%.
GG/NG: GG (65%) at 1.60.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (65%, odds 1.60 – longer than our fair 1.55, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Tukums 1–1 FS Jelgava. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Tukums37%fair 2.71 · @2.62
Draw23%fair 4.43 · @3.20
FS Jelgava41%fair 2.47 · @2.40
3.11Expected goals
1.51Tukums xG
1.60FS Jelgava xG
65%Both score
60%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–111%
1–29%
2–18%
0–17%
1–07%
2–27%
From our goals model: Tukums 1.5 – 1.6 FS Jelgava expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.60.
Who will win Tukums vs FS Jelgava?
On our numbers Tukums have a 37% chance of winning, the draw 23% and FS Jelgava 41%.
How many goals will there be in Tukums vs FS Jelgava?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 60% likely and both teams score 65% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Tukums vs FS Jelgava?
Our predicted score is Tukums 1–1 FS Jelgava, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is Tukums vs FS Jelgava?
Tukums vs FS Jelgava (Virsliga) kicks off on Saturday 29 August 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
