Riga vs BFC Daugavpils: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Monday 7 September the Virsliga brings Riga against BFC Daugavpils at Skonto stadions. Kick-off: 17:00 WAT. In the table, Riga are 2nd, among the top four, on 83 points after 35 matches; BFC Daugavpils are 4th (among the top four) with 52. There are 31 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Riga, last 5: WLWDD Their latest outing: 3–2 win over Rīgas FS, away. The attack is flying at 2.3 goals per game.
BFC Daugavpils, last 5: DLDWW Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Auda, at home. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 0.8 conceded per game.
Head to head
When they last met (25 Jun 2026) it ended BFC Daugavpils 0–0 Riga. The last 2 head-to-heads: Riga 1 win, BFC Daugavpils 0, draws 1. Those games averaged 2.0 goals and saw GG land 1 time.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Riga 2.4 xG, BFC Daugavpils 0.8 xG – a total near 3.2. That is an open game on paper: 61% for three or more goals, 56% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Riga 73%, draw 16%, BFC Daugavpils 11%.
GG/NG: GG (56%) at 1.65.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Riga to win (73%, odds 1.29). Most likely score in line with that pick: Riga 2–0 BFC Daugavpils. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Riga73%fair 1.37 · @1.29
Draw16%fair 6.09 · @5.00
BFC Daugavpils11%fair 9.42 · @8.00
3.15Expected goals
2.37Riga xG
0.78BFC Daugavpils xG
56%Both score
61%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–012%
1–010%
3–010%
2–19%
1–18%
3–17%
From our goals model: Riga 2.4 – 0.8 BFC Daugavpils expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Riga vs BFC Daugavpils?
Our pick is Riga to win with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.29.
Who will win Riga vs BFC Daugavpils?
On our numbers Riga have a 73% chance of winning, the draw 16% and BFC Daugavpils 11%.
How many goals will there be in Riga vs BFC Daugavpils?
We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 61% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Riga vs BFC Daugavpils?
Our predicted score is Riga 2–0 BFC Daugavpils, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.
When is Riga vs BFC Daugavpils?
Riga vs BFC Daugavpils (Virsliga) kicks off on Monday 7 September 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Skonto stadions.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
