Rīgas FS 67%Draw 18%FK Liepaja 16%Expected goals 2.14 – 0.91
67%
Betarazi pick
Rīgas FS to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.50 · bookmaker 1.30 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.30Odds
Picks by market
ResultRīgas FS to win ✗67% · @1.30
Double chanceRīgas FS or draw ✓84% · @1.07
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗60% · @1.70
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗81% · fair 1.24
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.14
Rīgas FS vs FK Liepaja: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
FK Liepaja travel to face Rīgas FS on Monday 7 September in the Virsliga, with LNK Sporta Parks the venue – the ball rolls at 17:00 WAT. In the table, Rīgas FS are 1st, leading the league, on 89 points after 35 matches; FK Liepaja are 5th (upper half) with 51. There are 38 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Rīgas FS, last 5: LWDWL Their latest outing: 2–3 defeat to Riga, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 4. The attack is flying at 2.7 goals per game.
FK Liepaja, last 5: WLWWL Their latest outing: 3–2 win over Riga, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 3 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.
Head to head
When they last met (26 Jun 2026) it ended FK Liepaja 0–2 Rīgas FS. The last 3 head-to-heads: Rīgas FS 3 wins, FK Liepaja 0, draws 0. Those games averaged 2.7 goals.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Rīgas FS 2.1 xG, FK Liepaja 0.9 xG – a total near 3.1. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 59% and GG at 60%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Rīgas FS 67%, draw 18%, FK Liepaja 16%.
GG/NG: GG (60%) at 1.70.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Rīgas FS to win (67%, odds 1.30). Most likely score in line with that pick: Rīgas FS 2–0 FK Liepaja. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Rīgas FS67%fair 1.50 · @1.30
Draw18%fair 5.60 · @4.80
FK Liepaja16%fair 6.43 · @8.00
3.05Expected goals
2.14Rīgas FS xG
0.91FK Liepaja xG
60%Both score
59%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–011%
1–010%
2–110%
1–19%
3–08%
3–17%
From our goals model: Rīgas FS 2.1 – 0.9 FK Liepaja expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Rīgas FS vs FK Liepaja?
Our pick is Rīgas FS to win with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win Rīgas FS vs FK Liepaja?
On our numbers Rīgas FS have a 67% chance of winning, the draw 18% and FK Liepaja 16%.
How many goals will there be in Rīgas FS vs FK Liepaja?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 59% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Rīgas FS vs FK Liepaja?
Our predicted score is Rīgas FS 2–0 FK Liepaja, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is Rīgas FS vs FK Liepaja?
Rīgas FS vs FK Liepaja (Virsliga) kicks off on Monday 7 September 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at LNK Sporta Parks.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
