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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Riga v Auda: numbers & prediction

Virsliga · Latvia · Skonto stadions

Riga

DWLWD
2–2
FT

Auda

WDDWW
Riga 72%Draw 17%Auda 12% Expected goals 2.39 – 0.85
72%
Betarazi pick

Riga to win

Strong pick · fair odds 1.40 · bookmaker 1.35 · Lost ✗

7/10Rating
1.35Odds

Picks by market

ResultRiga to win ✗72% · @1.35
Double chanceRiga or draw ✓88% · @1.05
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓57% · @1.67
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓83% · fair 1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.51

Riga vs Auda: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

16:00 WAT, Friday 11 September: Riga v Auda in the Virsliga, played at Skonto stadions. In the table, Riga are 2nd, among the top four, on 83 points after 35 matches; Auda are 3rd (among the top four) with 73.

Current form

Riga, last 5: DWLWD Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with BFC Daugavpils, at home. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.

Auda, last 5: WDDWW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Grobiņa, at home. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 0.8 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Momentum favours Auda, collecting 2.0 points per game to 1.5 for Riga.

Head to head

When they last met (29 Jun 2026) it ended Auda 0–2 Riga. The last 4 head-to-heads: Riga 4 wins, Auda 0, draws 0. Those games averaged 3.8 goals and saw GG land 3 times.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Riga 2.4 xG, Auda 0.9 xG – a total near 3.2. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 63% and GG at 57%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Riga 72%, draw 17%, Auda 12%.
  • GG/NG: GG (57%) at 1.67.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Riga to win (72%, odds 1.35). Most likely score in line with that pick: Riga 2–0 Auda. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Riga72%fair 1.40 · @1.35
Draw17%fair 5.96 · @4.80
Auda12%fair 8.55 · @6.60
3.24Expected goals
2.39Riga xG
0.85Auda xG
57%Both score
63%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

2–011%
2–110%
1–09%
3–09%
1–18%
3–18%

From our goals model: Riga 2.4 – 0.9 Auda expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultRiga to win ✗72%1.401.35
Double chanceRiga or draw ✓88%1.131.05
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓57%1.751.67
Draw no betRiga (draw no bet)86%1.16–
Asian handicapRiga -1 (Asian handicap) ✗63%1.59–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓83%1.20–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓63%1.591.48
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗58%1.711.62
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓76%1.311.25
First team to scoreRiga to score first ✓71%1.41–
Half-time resultRiga ahead at half-time ✓52%1.91–
Half-time / full-timeHT Riga / FT Riga ✗48%2.09–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10%10.51–

Recent results

Riga – last 6

DWLWDD
7 Sepvs BFC Daugavpils1–1D
3 Sep@ Rīgas FS3–2W
31 Aug@ FK Liepaja2–3L
27 Augvs KI Klaksvik2–1W
23 Aug@ Rīgas FS3–3D
20 Aug@ KI Klaksvik0–0D
1.8Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Auda – last 6

WDDWWD
6 Sepvs Grobiņa1–0W
2 Sep@ BFC Daugavpils2–2D
29 Augvs Super Nova1–1D
25 Augvs FK Liepaja1–0W
21 Augvs Tukums3–0W
17 Augvs Grobiņa2–2D
1.7Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

29 Jun 2026Auda v Riga0–2
12 May 2026Riga v Auda4–1
20 Mar 2026Auda v Riga1–2
17 Feb 2026Riga v Auda4–1
Riga vs Auda head-to-head page →

Virsliga table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Rīgas FS352852+6389
2Riga352582+6283
3Auda362277+2473
4BFC Daugavpils36141012+552
5FK Liepaja3614913+151
6Super Nova3611718-1840
7FS Jelgava369819-2035
8Grobiņa3661119-3829
9Tukums3651021-2425
10Ogre United364725-5519

More Virsliga predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Riga vs Auda?

Our pick is Riga to win with a 72% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.35.

Who will win Riga vs Auda?

On our numbers Riga have a 72% chance of winning, the draw 17% and Auda 12%.

How many goals will there be in Riga vs Auda?

We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 63% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Riga vs Auda?

Our predicted score is Riga 2–0 Auda, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.

When is Riga vs Auda?

Riga vs Auda (Virsliga) kicks off on Friday 11 September 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Skonto stadions.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.