Ogre United 15%Draw 21%FK Liepaja 64%Expected goals 0.98 – 2.18
64%
Betarazi pick
FK Liepaja to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.56 · bookmaker 1.62 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.62Odds
Picks by market
ResultFK Liepaja to win ✗64% · @1.62
Double chanceFK Liepaja or draw ✓85% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓63% · @1.60
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓82% · fair 1.21
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.12
Ogre United vs FK Liepaja: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
15:00 WAT, Friday 11 September: Ogre United v FK Liepaja in the Virsliga. In the table, Ogre United are 10th, in the drop zone, on 19 points after 36 matches; FK Liepaja are 5th (upper half) with 51. There are 32 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Ogre United, last 5: LLLLL Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Tukums, away. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 2.8 conceded per game.
FK Liepaja, last 5: DWLWW Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Rīgas FS, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
Momentum favours FK Liepaja, collecting 1.7 points per game to 0.2 for Ogre United.
Head to head
When they last met (30 Jun 2026) it ended FK Liepaja 4–0 Ogre United. The last 3 head-to-heads: Ogre United 0 wins, FK Liepaja 3, draws 0. Those games averaged 3.3 goals and saw GG land 1 time.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Ogre United 1.0 xG, FK Liepaja 2.2 xG – a total near 3.2. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 61% and GG at 63%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Ogre United 15%, draw 21%, FK Liepaja 64%.
Lower-risk option: FK Liepaja or draw (85%) at 1.18.
GG/NG: GG (63%) at 1.60.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was FK Liepaja to win (64%, odds 1.62 – longer than our fair 1.56, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Ogre United 0–2 FK Liepaja. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Ogre United15%fair 6.54 · @4.40
Draw21%fair 4.86 · @3.80
FK Liepaja64%fair 1.56 · @1.62
3.16Expected goals
0.98Ogre United xG
2.18FK Liepaja xG
63%Both score
61%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–210%
1–210%
0–19%
1–19%
0–37%
1–37%
From our goals model: Ogre United 1.0 – 2.2 FK Liepaja expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Ogre United vs FK Liepaja?
Our pick is FK Liepaja to win with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.62.
Who will win Ogre United vs FK Liepaja?
On our numbers Ogre United have a 15% chance of winning, the draw 21% and FK Liepaja 64%.
How many goals will there be in Ogre United vs FK Liepaja?
We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 61% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Ogre United vs FK Liepaja?
Our predicted score is Ogre United 0–2 FK Liepaja, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.
When is Ogre United vs FK Liepaja?
Ogre United vs FK Liepaja (Virsliga) kicks off on Friday 11 September 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
