FK Liepaja 61%Draw 15%BFC Daugavpils 23%Expected goals 1.70 – 0.87
61%
Betarazi pick
FK Liepaja to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.63 · bookmaker 1.95 · Lost ✗
5/10Rating
1.95Odds
Picks by market
ResultFK Liepaja to win ✗61% · @1.95
Double chanceEither team to win ✗85% · @1.29
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗57% · @1.55
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓74% · fair 1.35
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.39
FK Liepaja vs BFC Daugavpils: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
FK Liepaja welcome BFC Daugavpils to Daugavas stadions for a Virsliga fixture on Saturday 19 September (12:00 WAT). In the table, FK Liepaja are 5th, upper half, on 51 points after 36 matches; BFC Daugavpils are 4th (among the top four) with 52. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
FK Liepaja, last 5: DDWLW Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Ogre United, away. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
BFC Daugavpils, last 5: LDDLD Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Rīgas FS, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
Momentum favours FK Liepaja, collecting 1.8 points per game to 1.0 for BFC Daugavpils.
Head to head
When they last met (4 Jul 2026) it ended BFC Daugavpils 3–1 FK Liepaja. The last 3 head-to-heads: FK Liepaja 1 win, BFC Daugavpils 2, draws 0. Those games averaged 3.0 goals and saw GG land 2 times.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give FK Liepaja 1.7 xG, BFC Daugavpils 0.9 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 47%, GG 57%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – FK Liepaja 61%, draw 15%, BFC Daugavpils 23%.
GG/NG: GG (57%) at 1.55.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was FK Liepaja to win (61%, odds 1.95 – longer than our fair 1.63, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: FK Liepaja 1–0 BFC Daugavpils. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
FK Liepaja61%fair 1.63 · @1.95
Draw15%fair 6.48 · @3.30
BFC Daugavpils23%fair 4.29 · @3.25
2.57Expected goals
1.70FK Liepaja xG
0.87BFC Daugavpils xG
57%Both score
47%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–013%
1–111%
2–011%
2–110%
0–08%
0–17%
From our goals model: FK Liepaja 1.7 – 0.9 BFC Daugavpils expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for FK Liepaja vs BFC Daugavpils?
Our pick is FK Liepaja to win with a 61% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.95.
Who will win FK Liepaja vs BFC Daugavpils?
On our numbers FK Liepaja have a 61% chance of winning, the draw 15% and BFC Daugavpils 23%.
How many goals will there be in FK Liepaja vs BFC Daugavpils?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for FK Liepaja vs BFC Daugavpils?
Our predicted score is FK Liepaja 1–0 BFC Daugavpils, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is FK Liepaja vs BFC Daugavpils?
FK Liepaja vs BFC Daugavpils (Virsliga) kicks off on Saturday 19 September 2026 at 12:00 (West Africa Time) at Daugavas stadions.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
