Good pick · fair odds 1.64 · bookmaker 1.73 · Lost ✗
5/10Rating
1.73Odds
Picks by market
ResultRiga to win ✓63% · @1.38
Double chanceRiga or draw ✓86% · @1.10
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗61% · @1.73
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗82% · @1.14
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.17
FS Jelgava vs Riga: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Riga travel to face FS Jelgava on Saturday 19 September in the Virsliga, with Zemgales Olimpiskais centrs the venue – the ball rolls at 14:00 WAT. In the table, FS Jelgava are 7th, lower half, on 35 points after 36 matches; Riga are 2nd (among the top four) with 83. There are 48 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
FS Jelgava, last 5: DLWWL Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Grobiņa, away. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
Riga, last 5: WDDWL Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Super Nova, away. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Riga, collecting 1.8 points per game to 1.2 for FS Jelgava.
Head to head
When they last met (3 Jul 2026) it ended Riga 3–0 FS Jelgava.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give FS Jelgava 1.0 xG, Riga 2.2 xG – a total near 3.2. That is an open game on paper: 63% for three or more goals, 61% for GG.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – FS Jelgava 14%, draw 23%, Riga 63%.
GG/NG: GG (61%) at 1.73.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (61%, odds 1.73 – longer than our fair 1.64, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: FS Jelgava 1–2 Riga. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
FS Jelgava14%fair 7.08 · @5.75
Draw23%fair 4.41 · @4.50
Riga63%fair 1.58 · @1.38
3.24Expected goals
1.01FS Jelgava xG
2.23Riga xG
61%Both score
63%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–210%
0–210%
1–19%
0–19%
1–37%
0–37%
From our goals model: FS Jelgava 1.0 – 2.2 Riga expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 61% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.73.
Who will win FS Jelgava vs Riga?
On our numbers FS Jelgava have a 14% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Riga 63%.
How many goals will there be in FS Jelgava vs Riga?
We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 63% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for FS Jelgava vs Riga?
Our predicted score is FS Jelgava 1–2 Riga, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.
When is FS Jelgava vs Riga?
FS Jelgava vs Riga (Virsliga) kicks off on Saturday 19 September 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time) at Zemgales Olimpiskais centrs.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
