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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Ogre United v Super Nova: numbers & prediction

Virsliga · Latvia
1–0
FT
Ogre United 29%Draw 22%Super Nova 49% Expected goals 1.24 – 1.69
59%
Betarazi pick

Both teams to score

Good pick · fair odds 1.69 · bookmaker 1.57 · Lost ✗

5/10Rating
1.57Odds

Picks by market

ResultSuper Nova to win ✗49% · @2.10
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗59% · @1.57
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗79% · fair 1.27
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 10.57

Ogre United vs Super Nova: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Ogre United welcome Super Nova for a Virsliga fixture on Sunday 20 September (12:00 WAT). In the table, Ogre United are 10th, in the drop zone, on 19 points after 36 matches; Super Nova are 6th (lower half) with 40. There are 21 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Ogre United, last 5: LDLLL Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Auda, away. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 2.3 conceded per game.

Super Nova, last 5: LWWDD Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Riga, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Momentum favours Super Nova, collecting 1.3 points per game to 0.2 for Ogre United.

Head to head

When they last met (6 Jul 2026) it ended Super Nova 1–2 Ogre United. The last 2 head-to-heads: Ogre United 1 win, Super Nova 1, draws 0. Those games averaged 3.0 goals and saw GG land 2 times.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Ogre United 1.2 xG, Super Nova 1.7 xG – a total near 2.9. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 56% and GG at 59%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Ogre United 29%, draw 22%, Super Nova 49%.
  • GG/NG: GG (59%) at 1.57.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (59%, odds 1.57). Most likely score in line with that pick: Ogre United 1–1 Super Nova. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Ogre United29%fair 3.48 · @3.00
Draw22%fair 4.46 · @3.20
Super Nova49%fair 2.05 · @2.10
2.93Expected goals
1.24Ogre United xG
1.69Super Nova xG
59%Both score
56%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–111%
1–29%
0–19%
0–28%
2–17%
1–07%

From our goals model: Ogre United 1.2 – 1.7 Super Nova expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultSuper Nova to win ✗49%2.052.10
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78%1.291.30
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗59%1.691.57
Draw no betSuper Nova (draw no bet) ✗63%1.59–
Asian handicapOgre United +1 (Asian handicap) ✓67%1.49–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗79%1.27–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗56%1.78–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓66%1.51–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓83%1.21–
First team to scoreSuper Nova to score first ✗55%1.83–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗40%2.51–
Half-time / full-timeHT Super Nova / FT Super Nova ✗29%3.43–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9%10.57–

Recent results

Ogre United – last 6

LDLLLL
16 Sep@ Auda0–1L
11 Sepvs FK Liepaja2–2D
5 Sep@ Tukums1–2L
30 Augvs Rīgas FS0–3L
22 Augvs FS Jelgava2–3L
14 Aug@ BFC Daugavpils1–3L
1.0Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Super Nova – last 6

LWWDDL
15 Sepvs Riga0–1L
10 Sepvs Tukums1–0W
5 Sep@ FS Jelgava1–0W
29 Aug@ Auda1–1D
22 Augvs BFC Daugavpils0–0D
16 Augvs Rīgas FS0–1L
0.5Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
17%Both scored
0%Over 2.5

Head to head

6 Jul 2026Super Nova v Ogre United1–2
3 Apr 2026Ogre United v Super Nova1–2
Ogre United vs Super Nova head-to-head page →

Virsliga table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Rīgas FS352852+6389
2Riga352582+6283
3Auda362277+2473
4BFC Daugavpils36141012+552
5FK Liepaja3614913+151
6Super Nova3611718-1840
7FS Jelgava369819-2035
8Grobiņa3661119-3829
9Tukums3651021-2425
10Ogre United364725-5519

More Virsliga predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Ogre United vs Super Nova?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 59% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.57.

Who will win Ogre United vs Super Nova?

On our numbers Ogre United have a 29% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Super Nova 49%.

How many goals will there be in Ogre United vs Super Nova?

We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Ogre United vs Super Nova?

Our predicted score is Ogre United 1–1 Super Nova, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.

When is Ogre United vs Super Nova?

Ogre United vs Super Nova (Virsliga) kicks off on Sunday 20 September 2026 at 12:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.