Good pick · fair odds 1.63 · bookmaker 1.65 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.65Odds
Picks by market
ResultTukums to win ✗39% · @2.45
Double chanceEither team to win ✗77% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓61% · @1.65
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79% · fair 1.27
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 11.83
Tukums vs Grobiņa: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
14:00 WAT, Sunday 20 September: Tukums v Grobiņa in the Virsliga. In the table, Tukums are 9th, in the drop zone, on 25 points after 36 matches; Grobiņa are 8th (in the drop zone) with 29.
Current form
Tukums, last 5: LWLLL Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Super Nova, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Grobiņa, last 5: DLWLD Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with FS Jelgava, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 4. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Head to head
When they last met (5 Jul 2026) it ended Grobiņa 3–1 Tukums. The last 2 head-to-heads: Tukums 0 wins, Grobiņa 1, draws 1. Those games averaged 3.0 goals and saw GG land 2 times.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Tukums 1.5 xG, Grobiņa 1.4 xG – a total near 2.9. That is an open game on paper: 55% for three or more goals, 61% for GG.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Tukums 39%, draw 23%, Grobiņa 38%.
GG/NG: GG (61%) at 1.65.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (61%, odds 1.65). Most likely score in line with that pick: Tukums 1–1 Grobiņa. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Tukums39%fair 2.57 · @2.45
Draw23%fair 4.30 · @3.00
Grobiņa38%fair 2.64 · @2.62
2.90Expected goals
1.46Tukums xG
1.44Grobiņa xG
61%Both score
55%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
2–18%
1–28%
1–08%
0–18%
2–26%
From our goals model: Tukums 1.5 – 1.4 Grobiņa expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 61% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.65.
Who will win Tukums vs Grobiņa?
On our numbers Tukums have a 39% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Grobiņa 38%.
How many goals will there be in Tukums vs Grobiņa?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Tukums vs Grobiņa?
Our predicted score is Tukums 1–1 Grobiņa, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Tukums vs Grobiņa?
Tukums vs Grobiņa (Virsliga) kicks off on Sunday 20 September 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
